TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055397
Played Aug 31Finished
Miroslav Vana
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1178111012611––
Tomas Stejskal
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMiroslav Vana above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 76 set 4, 6-11
76 points played in total.
H2H Miroslav Vana 3–1 Tomas Stejskal Tomas Stejskal has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vana)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vana form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVana 1.53 / Stejskal 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Vana)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055397
Vana1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 49 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it74% 37 of 50
Stejskal2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog36% won 14 of 39
Down 0–1, comes back23% 5 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVana3wins
AwayStejskal1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderVana leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVana100%3 of 3
AwayStejskaln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vana3Stejskal1n = 4Vana took 3 of 4
S2Vana1Stejskal3n = 4Stejskal took 3 of 4
S3Vana3Stejskal1n = 4Vana took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricVanaStejskalV − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match37.532.8+4.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVanaStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 356 vs 103 / 22152.3%46.6%186 / 356 vs 103 / 221Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VanaVana 1.53/Stejskal 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Vana · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stejskal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 31 · 19:30M. Vana—116119113T. Stejskal—31181162
LJan 15 · 07:30M. Vana—11950T. Stejskal—1311113
WJan 5 · 09:00M. Vana—11814113T. Stejskal—8111271
WDec 25 · 19:00M. Vana—1111113T. Stejskal—7480
M. Vana10
LSep 3 · 12:54O. Plyska1.8311119113M. Vana1.83771171WSep 3 · 11:15J. Marhol2.00812521M. Vana1.73111011113WSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192LSep 3 · 09:45M. Vana1.801186101O. Plyska1.9181111123WSep 2 · 08:33O. Plyska1.9111101111122M. Vana1.80812913143LSep 2 · 07:30M. Vana1.8011691162O. Plyska1.91711113113WSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691LSep 2 · 05:30M. Vana1.83881181T. Bertho1.8311118113WAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 19:00M. Vana2.10121011113L. Hendrych1.671012991
T. Stejskal10
LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113WAug 19 · 19:15T. Stejskal1.83118119113J. Jnr1.8371161152WAug 19 · 18:15T. Stejskal1.8311115113A. Dvoracek1.83571171
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