TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12481695
Played Aug 24Finished
Josef Hanacek
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
111311711512141210
Tomas Stejskal
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 58.5% is still 58.5%
Graded at full timeTomas Stejskal to win
58.5%
58.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingJosef Hanacek above · Tomas Stejskal below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 12-10
Point 106 set 5, 12-10 — our read held Tomas Stejskal at 58.5%
106 points played in total.
H2H Josef Hanacek 1–1 Tomas Stejskal Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:31What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Stejskal
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Hanacek 1456 vs Stejskal 1496
Stejskal
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hanacek 60% vs Stejskal 80%
Stejskal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hanacek 60% vs Stejskal 80%
Stejskal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hanacek +1 · Stejskal +4
Stejskal
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Stejskal)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stejskal form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHanacek 1.91 / Stejskal 1.80
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Stejskal)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12481695
Hanacek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back28% 14 of 50
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Stejskal1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 24 of 42
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeHanacek1wins
AwayStejskal1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricHanacekStejskalH − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match30.032.0−2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHanacekStejskalBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 402 vs 106 / 22252%47.8%209 / 402 vs 106 / 222Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StejskalHanacek 1.91/Stejskal 1.80
Miss
What we said
58.5%
Stejskal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hanacek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 5 · 16:00J. Hanacek—1111113T. Stejskal—6870
LJul 16 · 06:45J. Hanacek—124561T. Stejskal—101111113
J. Hanacek10
WSep 5 · 16:29J. Hanacek4.00116117113L. Hendrych1.2251141152LSep 5 · 16:00F. Kubos1.801111103J. Hanacek1.915870LSep 5 · 13:30L. Hendrych1.251111113J. Hanacek3.759690LSep 3 · 12:23J. Hanacek2.201011110J. Marhol1.611213133LSep 3 · 11:45O. Plyska1.67117111113J. Hanacek2.1041181192LSep 3 · 10:45M. Vana1.501112114113J. Hanacek2.5091471192WSep 3 · 09:15J. Marhol1.57121211982J. Hanacek2.251014711113LSep 2 · 09:03T. Bertho1.61117139113J. Hanacek2.20911111162WSep 2 · 08:00J. Hanacek2.7511116113T. Bertho1.40981161LSep 2 · 06:30M. Vana1.53121114113J. Hanacek2.381051691
T. Stejskal10
WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161LAug 24 · 12:23T. Stejskal1.3011101081J. Jnr3.4081212113LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113WAug 19 · 19:15T. Stejskal1.83118119113J. Jnr1.8371161152WAug 19 · 18:15T. Stejskal1.8311115113A. Dvoracek1.83571171
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