Tomas Stejskal vs Jakub Dufek Jnr 1-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13002246

Played Aug 24Finished

Tomas Stejskal

Home

1.30

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

7–3Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

11810121012811––

Jakub Dufek Jnr

Away

3.40

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingTomas Stejskal above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below

Set 1 · 11-8

Set 2 · 10-12

Set 3 · 10-12

Set 4 · 8-11

Point 82 set 4, 8-11

82 points played in total.

H2H Tomas Stejskal 4–1 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 1 of their 5 meetings.

Last 5 · 4–1Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Stejskal)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Stejskal form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStejskal 1.30 / Jnr 3.40

Signal prob.82% / 18%

Edge (Stejskal)+10.0pp

Setka Cup · #13002246

Stejskal1.30

70%won 7 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

60%takes the first set · 6 of 10

As favourite57% won 24 of 42

Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15

Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29

Jnr3.40

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

10%takes the first set · 1 of 10

As underdog52% won 90 of 174

Down 0–1, comes back35% 28 of 81

Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 5 meetings

HomeStejskal4wins

AwayJnr1wins

1 of 5 to a deciderStejskal leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStejskal100%3 of 3

AwayJnrn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Stejskal3Jnr2n = 5Stejskal took 3 of 5

S2Stejskal3Jnr2n = 5Stejskal took 3 of 5

S3Stejskal4Jnr1n = 5Stejskal took 4 of 5

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home240%

3–1Four sets, home120%

3–2Decider, home120%

2–3Decider, away00%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away120%

These 5 meetings

MetricStejskalJnrS − JBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match37.230.6+6.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStejskalJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime107 / 225 vs 236 / 46447.6%50.9%107 / 225 vs 236 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Stejskal

Stejskal 1.30/Jnr 3.40

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

82.3%

Stejskal · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Jnr won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record5

WAug 24 · 10:15T. Stejskal—1111113J. Jnr—5720

WAug 19 · 20:18T. Stejskal—1113113J. Jnr—91180

WAug 19 · 19:15T. Stejskal—118119113J. Jnr—71161152

LAug 12 · 17:03T. Stejskal—91050J. Jnr—1112113

WAug 12 · 16:00T. Stejskal—91111133J. Jnr—1196111

T. Stejskal10

WAug 31 · 20:38M. Vana1.531181061T. Stejskal2.3871112113 LAug 31 · 19:30T. Stejskal2.2031181162M. Vana1.61116119113 WAug 31 · 18:30T. Stejskal2.631111113O. Karpisek1.449460 WAug 31 · 17:30T. Stejskal2.20111013113L. Hendrych1.618121161 LAug 24 · 11:45T. Stejskal2.00610111182M. Vorel1.73111261113 WAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113 LAug 24 · 09:45J. Hanacek1.9111111112123T. Stejskal1.80137514102 WAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113 WAug 19 · 19:15T. Stejskal1.83118119113J. Jnr1.8371161152 WAug 19 · 18:15T. Stejskal1.8311115113A. Dvoracek1.83571171

J. Jnr10

LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171 LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113 LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972 LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132 LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170 WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113 WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151 LAug 24 · 10:15J. Jnr2.635720T. Stejskal1.441111113 LAug 19 · 20:18J. Jnr2.1091180T. Stejskal1.671113113 LAug 19 · 19:15T. Stejskal1.83118119113J. Jnr1.8371161152

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