Jan Seeman vs Jakub Dufek Jnr 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13071647

Played Sep 3Finished

Jan Seeman

Home

2.00

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

116118911117––

Jakub Dufek Jnr

Away

1.73

At publish

Lost last 4

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 4

How it is goingJan Seeman above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below

Set 1 · 11-6

Set 2 · 11-8

Set 3 · 9-11

Set 4 · 11-7

Point 74 set 4, 11-7

74 points played in total.

H2H Jan Seeman 8–14 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jan Seeman has won 8 of their 22 meetings.

Last 10 · 4–6Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Jnr form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSeeman 2.00 / Jnr 1.73

Signal prob.46% / 54%

Edge (Jnr)+0.4pp

Setka Cup · #13071647

Seeman2.00

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog36% won 34 of 94

Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52

Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24

Jnr1.73

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 4

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As favourite64% won 94 of 146

Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50

Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeSeeman4wins

AwayJnr6wins

2 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeSeeman37.5%3 of 8

AwayJnrn = 2, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Seeman8Jnr2n = 10Seeman took 8 of 10

S2Seeman5Jnr5n = 10split evenly

S3Seeman4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10

S4Seeman1Jnr7n = 8Jnr took 7 of 8

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home110%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away550%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricSeemanJnrS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.339.2−0.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricSeemanJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime134 / 280 vs 242 / 46847.9%51.7%134 / 280 vs 242 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Jnr

Seeman 2.00/Jnr 1.73

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

54.1%

Jnr · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Seeman won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WSep 3 · 12:00J. Seeman—1112113J. Jnr—91090

WAug 23 · 21:03J. Seeman—1111113J. Jnr—7850

LAug 23 · 20:00J. Seeman—11310101J. Jnr—61112123

LAug 16 · 17:00J. Seeman—9121181J. Jnr—111013113

LAug 16 · 16:00J. Seeman—118581J. Jnr—51111113

LJul 24 · 18:30J. Seeman—126861J. Jnr—101111113

WJul 18 · 20:59J. Seeman—9111110113J. Jnr—11861262

LJul 18 · 18:00J. Seeman—111014482J. Jnr—8121211113

LJul 18 · 12:58J. Seeman—149961J. Jnr—121111113

WJul 18 · 12:00J. Seeman—11118113J. Jnr—871191

J. Seeman10

WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113 LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940 WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113 LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113 WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113 WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133 WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113 WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582 LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122 LAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381

J. Jnr10

LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113 LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972 LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132 LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170 WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113 WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151 WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791 LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871 LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491 WSep 1 · 11:00J. Jnr2.387111211113M. Vorel1.53118101372

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