TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055458
Played Sep 1Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
71111812101113117
Martin Vorel
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:58 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 101 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Martin Vorel at 61.6%
101 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vorel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1304 vs Vorel 1441
Vorel
Wrong
both rated, 137 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 20% vs Vorel 80%
Vorel
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 30% vs Vorel 80%
Vorel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -2 · Vorel +3
Vorel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Vorel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 2.38 / Vorel 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Vorel)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13055458
Jnr2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back33% 28 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Vorel1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite56% won 99 of 177
Up 2–0, closes it90% 43 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it78% 73 of 94
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 462 vs 412 / 79151.5%52.1%238 / 462 vs 412 / 791Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.339.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelJnr 2.38/Vorel 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jnr won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 09:09M. Vorel1.67138111172O. Plyska2.10151188113LSep 7 · 08:00O. Plyska2.101151213113M. Vorel1.67511141192LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143
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