TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13073285
Played Sep 4Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611117511118711
Martin Vorel
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMartin Vorel to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Martin Vorel below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 88 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Martin Vorel at 57.7%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 0–1 Martin Vorel Michal Snizek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vorel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1352 vs Vorel 1414
Vorel
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 60% vs Vorel 40%
Snizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 50% vs Vorel 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek -1 · Vorel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Vorel) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorel form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 2.20 / Vorel 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Vorel)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13073285
Snizek2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 19 of 46
Down 0–1, comes back13% 3 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Vorel1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 105 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it90% 44 of 49
Up 1–0, closes it78% 76 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSnizek0wins
AwayVorel1wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVorel leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSnizekVorelS − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match40.048.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekVorelBasisWin rate · lifetime174 / 334 vs 409 / 79052.1%51.8%174 / 334 vs 409 / 790Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorelSnizek 2.20/Vorel 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.5%
Vorel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vorel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek—61151172M. Vorel—117118113
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek1.611311113M. Cmil2.2011360
M. Vorel10
LSep 7 · 07:00J. Mejzlik2.001091111113M. Vorel1.7312119982LSep 7 · 05:30P. Hlina1.5311811113M. Vorel2.38511751LSep 4 · 09:23J. Puk1.83119116133M. Vorel1.83611711112WSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531WSep 4 · 06:00M. Vorel1.836111110113J. Puk1.8311891252LSep 2 · 16:28M. Vorel2.109870P. Hlina1.671111113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Vorel1.7377120L. Tuma2.001111143LSep 2 · 14:30P. Hlina1.8071111113M. Vorel1.91118211LSep 2 · 14:00V. Toman1.671111113M. Vorel2.107570WSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171
Upcoming Matches
M. Snizek
Nothing scheduled
M. Vorel
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