TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022514
Played Aug 27Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311113116––––
Marcel Cmil
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Marcel Cmil below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Michal Snizek at 58.1%
55 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 21–16 Marcel Cmil Marcel Cmil has won 16 of their 37 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Snizek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-16 in 37
Snizek
Correct
gap of 5 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1378 vs Cmil 1343
Snizek
Correct
both rated, 36 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 20% vs Cmil 40%
Cmil
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 50% vs Cmil 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek -2 · Cmil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Snizek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 1.61 / Cmil 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Snizek)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13022514
Snizek1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Cmil2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog46% won 63 of 138
Down 0–1, comes back30% 23 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnizek6wins
AwayCmil4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizek100%5 of 5
AwayCmil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek5Cmil5n = 10split evenly
S2Snizek4Cmil6n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S3Snizek5Cmil5n = 10split evenly
S4Snizek4Cmil2n = 6Snizek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnizekCmilS − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.834.7+0.1per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekCmilBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 326 vs 367 / 68152.2%53.9%170 / 326 vs 367 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.739.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekSnizek 1.61/Cmil 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:33M. Snizek—1111113M. Cmil—6760
WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek—1311113M. Cmil—11360
WAug 20 · 08:00M. Snizek—11119113M. Cmil—861161
WJul 16 · 06:00M. Snizek—1061111113M. Cmil—12117852
WJul 12 · 11:15M. Snizek—12122113M. Cmil—10101161
LApr 20 · 09:03M. Snizek—12780M. Cmil—1411113
LApr 20 · 08:00M. Snizek—4490M. Cmil—1111113
LApr 6 · 08:33M. Snizek—451151M. Cmil—11119113
LApr 6 · 07:30M. Snizek—691171M. Cmil—11118113
WApr 5 · 16:39M. Snizek—118911113M. Cmil—91111682
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113WAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113LAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.