TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13076567
Played Sep 4Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
311118116811911
Michal Snizek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 3–7 Michal Snizek Pavel Moulis has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Snizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.38 / Snizek 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Snizek)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13076567
Moulis2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 17 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back14% 3 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 11
Snizek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite54% won 43 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoulis3wins
AwaySnizek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoulis33.3%1 of 3
AwaySnizek71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moulis3Snizek7n = 10Snizek took 7 of 10
S2Moulis4Snizek6n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S3Moulis5Snizek5n = 10split evenly
S4Moulis3Snizek4n = 7Snizek took 4 of 7
S5Moulis1Snizek2n = 3Snizek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoulisSnizekM − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.438.6−4.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 436 vs 173 / 33345.6%52%199 / 436 vs 173 / 333Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekMoulis 2.38/Snizek 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Snizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 05:30P. Moulis—561151M. Snizek—11116113
LAug 29 · 20:00P. Moulis—117371M. Snizek—81111113
WApr 6 · 05:30P. Moulis—71111113M. Snizek—117671
WMar 4 · 12:00P. Moulis—4111111113M. Snizek—11133982
WFeb 27 · 09:29P. Moulis—1111113M. Snizek—6540
LFeb 27 · 06:30P. Moulis—1213115122M. Snizek—1411711143
LFeb 9 · 09:30P. Moulis—113591M. Snizek—81111113
LFeb 9 · 06:30P. Moulis—9830M. Snizek—1111113
LJan 31 · 17:00P. Moulis—121171162M. Snizek—149117113
LJan 22 · 11:45P. Moulis—7490M. Snizek—1111113
P. Moulis10
WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531LSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151WSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102LSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151LSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113WAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
M. Snizek10
LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881WAug 27 · 07:00M. Snizek1.611311113M. Cmil2.2011360
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