TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13064895
Played Sep 2Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11812141171214117
Pavel Cizek
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Pavel Cizek below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 12-14
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 107 set 5, 11-7
107 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 0–3 Pavel Cizek Pavel Moulis has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cizek form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 2.38 / Cizek 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Cizek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13064895
Moulis2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog44% won 18 of 41
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back9% 1 of 11
Cizek1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite50% won 13 of 26
Up 2–0, closes it89% 8 of 9
Up 1–0, closes it75% 12 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeMoulis0wins
AwayCizek3wins
Cizek leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moulis1Cizek2n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S2Moulis1Cizek2n = 3Cizek took 2 of 3
S3Moulis0Cizek3n = 3Cizek took 3 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricMoulisCizekM − CBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match28.337.7−9.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime201 / 437 vs 30 / 6746%44.8%201 / 437 vs 30 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CizekMoulis 2.38/Cizek 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Cizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Moulis won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 09:30P. Moulis—112791P. Cizek—91111113
LAug 13 · 08:34P. Moulis—1011651P. Cizek—12411113
LAug 13 · 07:30P. Moulis—9780P. Cizek—1111113
P. Moulis10
LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531LSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102LSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151LSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113WAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
P. Cizek10
LSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113WSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 26 · 09:09M. Snizek1.5731260P. Cizek2.251114113LAug 26 · 08:00P. Cizek2.1011411262M. Snizek1.67911511113WAug 26 · 06:30J. Krejcik1.676111181P. Cizek2.1011136113LAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671WAug 13 · 08:34P. Cizek1.6712411113P. Moulis2.101011651WAug 13 · 07:30P. Moulis1.739780P. Cizek2.001111113LAug 13 · 07:00P. Cizek2.0049100J. Seeman1.731111123
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