TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415452
Played Aug 13Finished
Pavel Moulis
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711811––––
Pavel Cizek
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePavel Moulis to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPavel Moulis above · Pavel Cizek below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 57 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Pavel Moulis at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Moulis 0–2 Pavel Cizek Pavel Moulis has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Moulis
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Moulis 1334 vs Cizek 1351
Cizek
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moulis 40% vs Cizek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moulis 40% vs Cizek 60%
Cizek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moulis -1 · Cizek -3
Cizek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Moulis)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moulis form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoulis 1.73 / Cizek 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Moulis)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12415452
Moulis1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite44% won 23 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Cizek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeMoulis0wins
AwayCizek2wins
Cizek leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricMoulisCizekM − CBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match28.035.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoulisCizekBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 452 vs 27 / 6046%45%208 / 452 vs 27 / 60Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.436.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoulisMoulis 1.73/Cizek 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Moulis · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cizek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 13 · 08:34P. Moulis—1011651P. Cizek—12411113
LAug 13 · 07:30P. Moulis—9780P. Cizek—1111113
P. Moulis10
LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531LSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151WSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102LSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151LSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113
P. Cizek10
LSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113WSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 26 · 09:09M. Snizek1.5731260P. Cizek2.251114113LAug 26 · 08:00P. Cizek2.1011411262M. Snizek1.67911511113WAug 26 · 06:30J. Krejcik1.676111181P. Cizek2.1011136113LAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671WAug 13 · 08:34P. Cizek1.6712411113P. Moulis2.101011651LAug 13 · 07:00P. Cizek2.0049100J. Seeman1.731111123
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.