TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12415453
Played Aug 13Finished
Pavel Cizek
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
4119111012––––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPavel Cizek above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 57 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Cizek 0–1 Jan Seeman Pavel Cizek has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:23What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cizek 1351 vs Seeman 1358
Seeman
Correct
both rated, 7 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cizek 60% vs Seeman 20%
Cizek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cizek 60% vs Seeman 40%
Cizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cizek -2 · Seeman -3
Seeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCizek 2.00 / Seeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seeman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12415453
Cizek2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 12 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Seeman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCizek0wins
AwaySeeman1wins
Seeman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricCizekSeemanC − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match23.034.0−11.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCizekSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime27 / 60 vs 139 / 28045%49.6%27 / 60 vs 139 / 280Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.639.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanCizek 2.00/Seeman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 13 · 07:00P. Cizek—49100J. Seeman—1111123
P. Cizek10
LSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113LSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113WSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 26 · 09:09M. Snizek1.5731260P. Cizek2.251114113LAug 26 · 08:00P. Cizek2.1011411262M. Snizek1.67911511113WAug 26 · 06:30J. Krejcik1.676111181P. Cizek2.1011136113LAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671WAug 13 · 08:34P. Cizek1.6712411113P. Moulis2.101011651WAug 13 · 07:30P. Moulis1.739780P. Cizek2.001111113
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
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