TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043917
Played Aug 30Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1181177115111412
Jan Seeman
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:38 and never touched — 57.0% is still 57.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
57.0%
57.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 97 set 5, 14-12 — our read held David Sabuka at 57.0%
97 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 5–2 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:38What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sabuka
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sabuka 1318 vs Seeman 1279
Sabuka
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sabuka 80% vs Seeman 20%
Sabuka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sabuka 70% vs Seeman 50%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sabuka +1 · Seeman -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.67 / Seeman 2.10
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Sabuka)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13043917
Sabuka1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 61 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 26 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it77% 43 of 56
Seeman2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 32 of 89
Down 0–1, comes back27% 13 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSabuka5wins
AwaySeeman2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSabuka leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSabuka75%3 of 4
AwaySeeman33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sabuka4Seeman3n = 7Sabuka took 4 of 7
S2Sabuka2Seeman5n = 7Seeman took 5 of 7
S3Sabuka5Seeman2n = 7Sabuka took 5 of 7
S4Sabuka3Seeman4n = 7Seeman took 4 of 7
S5Sabuka3Seeman0n = 3Sabuka took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSabukaSeemanSabuka − SeemanBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match43.041.9+1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 527 vs 133 / 27946.1%47.7%243 / 527 vs 133 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.67/Seeman 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 15 · 15:00D. Sabuka—13711973J. Seeman—111151132
LAug 1 · 20:29D. Sabuka—1111551J. Seeman—13811113
WAug 1 · 18:00D. Sabuka—61811113J. Seeman—1116881
WJul 25 · 20:24D. Sabuka—591115113J. Seeman—111131362
WJul 25 · 17:15D. Sabuka—11611113J. Seeman—511961
LJul 23 · 12:33D. Sabuka—1178101J. Seeman—91111123
WJul 23 · 09:30D. Sabuka—1161210113J. Seeman—911101262
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
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