TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049270
Played Aug 31Finished
David Sabuka
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131171210––––
Julius Krejcik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:14 and never touched — 63.3% is still 63.3%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
63.3%
63.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Julius Krejcik below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 12-10
Point 54 set 3, 12-10 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 63.3%
54 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 0–1 Julius Krejcik David Sabuka has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:14What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Krejcik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Sabuka 1318 vs Krejcik 1407
Krejcik
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sabuka 60% vs Krejcik 40%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sabuka 70% vs Krejcik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sabuka -1 · Krejcik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 2.50 / Krejcik 1.50
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Krejcik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13049270
Sabuka2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog28% won 30 of 107
Down 0–1, comes back16% 12 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back5% 2 of 44
Krejcik1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 21 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSabuka0wins
AwayKrejcik1wins
Krejcik leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricSabukaKrejcikS − KBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match26.033.0−7.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaKrejcikBasisWin rate · lifetime244 / 525 vs 24 / 3946.5%61.5%244 / 525 vs 24 / 39Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikSabuka 2.50/Krejcik 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.3%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 24 · 12:00D. Sabuka—8990J. Krejcik—1111113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981LAug 28 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.91412341P. Moulis1.8011101142WAug 28 · 10:30J. Jnr1.91911118142J. Krejcik1.80119811163
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