TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049497
Played Aug 31Finished
Viktor Kucala
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1113118117311611
Julius Krejcik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Kucala above · Julius Krejcik below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 92 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 67.3%
92 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Kucala 1–1 Julius Krejcik Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:23What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Krejcik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kucala 1164 vs Krejcik 1386
Krejcik
Correct
both rated, 221 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucala 0% vs Krejcik 40%
Krejcik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucala 30% vs Krejcik 50%
Krejcik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucala -5 · Krejcik -1
Kucala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krejcik form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucala 2.63 / Krejcik 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Krejcik)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13049497
Kucala2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Krejcik1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 21 of 33
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it77% 13 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKucala1wins
AwayKrejcik1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKucalaKrejcikKucala − KrejcikBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match24.530.0−5.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucalaKrejcikBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 278 vs 24 / 4045.3%60%126 / 278 vs 24 / 40Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikKucala 2.63/Krejcik 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.3%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krejcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 24 · 12:58V. Kucala—4370J. Krejcik—1111113
WAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala—1311113J. Krejcik—11880
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100WAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala2.201311113J. Krejcik1.6111880
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981WAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370LAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala2.201311113J. Krejcik1.6111880
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