TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049469
Played Aug 31Finished
Viktor Kucala
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191012111114––
David Sabuka
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 57.3% is still 57.3%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
57.3%
57.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingViktor Kucala above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-1
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 69 set 4, 11-4 — our read held David Sabuka at 57.3%
69 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Kucala 5–2 David Sabuka David Sabuka has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:14What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sabuka
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Kucala
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucala 1177 vs Sabuka 1306
Sabuka
Wrong
both rated, 128 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucala 0% vs Sabuka 60%
Sabuka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucala 30% vs Sabuka 70%
Sabuka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucala -5 · Sabuka -1
Kucala
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kucala form (0%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucala 2.20 / Sabuka 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sabuka)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13049469
Kucala2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Sabuka1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 61 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 43 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKucala5wins
AwaySabuka2wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKucala leads 5–2, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucala80%4 of 5
AwaySabukan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucala5Sabuka2n = 7Kucala took 5 of 7
S2Kucala4Sabuka3n = 7Kucala took 4 of 7
S3Kucala3Sabuka4n = 7Sabuka took 4 of 7
S4Kucala4Sabuka3n = 7Kucala took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home457%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricKucalaSabukaK − SBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.638.3+2.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucalaSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime127 / 280 vs 243 / 52545.4%46.3%127 / 280 vs 243 / 525Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaKucala 2.20/Sabuka 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.3%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala—111011113D. Sabuka—912141
LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala—112681D. Sabuka—91111113
WAug 24 · 09:30V. Kucala—11119143D. Sabuka—9411121
WAug 15 · 16:39V. Kucala—12811113D. Sabuka—1011851
WAug 15 · 15:30V. Kucala—51111113D. Sabuka—119591
LMay 24 · 19:00V. Kucala—911941D. Sabuka—11911113
WMay 17 · 19:15V. Kucala—1111914113D. Sabuka—99111692
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100WAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala2.201311113J. Krejcik1.6111880
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113
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