TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13058015
Played Sep 1Finished
David Sabuka
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119114––––
Antonin Skyba
Away
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingDavid Sabuka above · Antonin Skyba below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4
53 points played in total.
H2H David Sabuka 4–0 Antonin Skyba Antonin Skyba has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skyba form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSabuka 1.22 / Skyba 4.00
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13058015
Sabuka1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 62 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 44 of 57
Skyba4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 25 of 80
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 48
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSabuka4wins
AwaySkyba0wins
2 of 4 to a deciderSabuka leads 4–0, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSabuka100%3 of 3
AwaySkyban = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sabuka3Skyba1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S2Sabuka2Skyba2n = 4split evenly
S3Sabuka3Skyba1n = 4Sabuka took 3 of 4
S4Sabuka2Skyba1n = 3Sabuka took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSabukaSkybaSabuka − SkybaBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.235.5+8.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSabukaSkybaBasisWin rate · lifetime245 / 528 vs 95 / 23746.4%40.1%245 / 528 vs 95 / 237Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.536.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSabuka 1.22/Skyba 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.4%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 1 · 07:00D. Sabuka—13611113A. Skyba—1111791
WAug 27 · 12:59D. Sabuka—1411113A. Skyba—12890
WAug 27 · 09:30D. Sabuka—711811113A. Skyba—11611252
WAug 20 · 07:30D. Sabuka—1281110113A. Skyba—101131242
D. Sabuka10
LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113
A. Skyba10
LSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113WSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972WSep 1 · 07:30M. Cervenka3.255660A. Skyba1.331111113LSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 06:00A. Skyba2.50128714102M. Cmil1.5010111112123LAug 27 · 12:59A. Skyba2.7512890D. Sabuka1.401411113WAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113WAug 27 · 11:00M. Cervenka3.251151241A. Skyba1.3351114113
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