TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067709
Played Sep 3Finished
Antonin Skyba
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116117––––
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAntonin Skyba above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 61.2%
51 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Skyba 3–4 Lukas Krutina Antonin Skyba has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Krutina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skyba 1231 vs Krutina 1342
Krutina
Wrong
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skyba 40% vs Krutina 80%
Krutina
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skyba 40% vs Krutina 60%
Krutina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skyba +1 · Krutina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 2.38 / Krutina 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Krutina)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13067709
Skyba2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 26 of 84
Down 0–1, comes back14% 7 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 32
Krutina1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSkyba3wins
AwayKrutina4wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKrutina leads 4–3, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkyba75%3 of 4
AwayKrutina100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skyba4Krutina3n = 7Skyba took 4 of 7
S2Skyba3Krutina4n = 7Krutina took 4 of 7
S3Skyba4Krutina3n = 7Skyba took 4 of 7
S4Skyba3Krutina3n = 6split evenly
S5Skyba1Krutina2n = 3Krutina took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home114%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSkybaKrutinaS − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match41.438.0+3.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 238 vs 107 / 20939.9%51.2%95 / 238 vs 107 / 209Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaSkyba 2.38/Krutina 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Skyba won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 3 · 09:03A. Skyba—971112112L. Krutina—1111610133
WSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba—1111113L. Krutina—5670
WJun 23 · 08:00A. Skyba—11118113L. Krutina—561171
WFeb 2 · 16:00A. Skyba—111179113L. Krutina—76111152
LAug 8 · 12:00A. Skyba—119711102L. Krutina—911116123
LAug 6 · 08:33A. Skyba—881181L. Krutina—11117113
LAug 6 · 07:30A. Skyba—781181L. Krutina—11116113
A. Skyba10
LSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113WSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940WSep 1 · 07:30M. Cervenka3.255660A. Skyba1.331111113LSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 06:00A. Skyba2.50128714102M. Cmil1.5010111112123LAug 27 · 12:59A. Skyba2.7512890D. Sabuka1.401411113WAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113WAug 27 · 11:00M. Cervenka3.251151241A. Skyba1.3351114113
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina2.256580D. Sabuka1.571111113WAug 4 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.63512141172L. Krutina1.441110167113
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