TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12357014
Played Aug 4Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
51112101416117711
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:16 and never touched — 65.5% is still 65.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
65.5%
65.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 14-16
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 104 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 65.5%
104 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 10–13 Lukas Krutina Artur Akopyan has won 10 of their 23 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:16What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Krutina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-13 in 23
Krutina
Correct
gap of 3 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Akopyan 1226 vs Krutina 1332
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Akopyan 60% vs Krutina 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akopyan 40% vs Krutina 60%
Krutina
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Akopyan -1 · Krutina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.63 / Krutina 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 66%
Edge (Krutina)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #12357014
Akopyan2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 55 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back25% 25 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 51
Krutina1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 34 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it71% 22 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan4wins
AwayKrutina6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKrutina leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan40%2 of 5
AwayKrutina60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan5Krutina5n = 10split evenly
S2Akopyan3Krutina7n = 10Krutina took 7 of 10
S3Akopyan4Krutina6n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Akopyan6Krutina3n = 9Akopyan took 6 of 9
S5Akopyan1Krutina2n = 3Krutina took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanKrutinaA − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.039.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 561 vs 102 / 20243.3%50.5%243 / 561 vs 102 / 202Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaAkopyan 2.63/Krutina 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.5%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 12:00A. Akopyan—691111113L. Krutina—11118872
WJun 23 · 08:29A. Akopyan—51113113L. Krutina—1151181
LJun 23 · 07:00A. Akopyan—116951L. Krutina—91111113
LJun 4 · 05:45A. Akopyan—39121192L. Krutina—1111109113
LFeb 13 · 14:30A. Akopyan—11411101L. Krutina—91113123
LFeb 8 · 10:05A. Akopyan—77111182L. Krutina—111157113
WFeb 8 · 09:00A. Akopyan—111110113L. Krutina—871271
LDec 14 · 14:30A. Akopyan—115681L. Krutina—91111113
LDec 13 · 17:33A. Akopyan—10870L. Krutina—121183
WNov 23 · 08:30A. Akopyan—11116113L. Krutina—751131
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina2.256580D. Sabuka1.571111113
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