TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084201
Played Sep 6Finished
Patrik Muller
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119119––––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:31 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Muller to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPatrik Muller above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Patrik Muller at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Muller 9–13 Artur Akopyan Patrik Muller has won 9 of their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:31What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Muller
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-13 in 22
Akopyan
Wrong
gap of 4 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Muller 1227 vs Akopyan 1188
Muller
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Muller 0% vs Akopyan 20%
Akopyan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Muller 10% vs Akopyan 40%
Akopyan
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Muller -5 · Akopyan -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Muller) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 1.67 / Akopyan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Muller)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13084201
Muller1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 6 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6
Akopyan2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuller5wins
AwayAkopyan5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller100%5 of 5
AwayAkopyan100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S2Muller7Akopyan3n = 10Muller took 7 of 10
S3Muller6Akopyan4n = 10Muller took 6 of 10
S4Muller1Akopyan5n = 6Akopyan took 5 of 6
S5Muller2Akopyan2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMullerAkopyanM − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.737.2+1.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 147 vs 230 / 52944.9%43.5%66 / 147 vs 230 / 529Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MullerMuller 1.67/Akopyan 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Muller · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Muller won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 16:34P. Muller—10111191A. Akopyan—12136113
WSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller—1111113A. Akopyan—3990
WApr 2 · 12:28P. Muller—1211123A. Akopyan—107100
WApr 2 · 10:30P. Muller—111195113A. Akopyan—56111162
WJan 18 · 12:45P. Muller—115117113A. Akopyan—71171192
LJan 15 · 17:00P. Muller—71191122A. Akopyan—117113113
LJan 6 · 11:00P. Muller—1111571A. Akopyan—13611113
LDec 23 · 16:30P. Muller—1111151162A. Akopyan—1351313113
WDec 12 · 11:00P. Muller—1112123A. Akopyan—610100
LDec 11 · 13:00P. Muller—9680A. Akopyan—1111113
P. Muller10
LSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191LSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113LJun 28 · 13:00P. Muller2.6381070J. Jnr1.441112113LJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131LJun 28 · 11:00M. Vydra1.30811511113P. Muller3.4011411732LJun 28 · 09:30M. Cmil1.4013911113P. Muller2.751111851LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller2.384680J. Krejcik1.531111113WJun 26 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.538101161P. Muller2.3811125113LJun 26 · 11:00L. Krutina1.571311113P. Muller2.2511480
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140LAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113
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