TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457106
Played Aug 19Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
511118511119911
Milan Vydra
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeMilan Vydra to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Milan Vydra below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 91 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Milan Vydra at 74.3%
91 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 12–16 Milan Vydra Artur Akopyan has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vydra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Vydra
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Akopyan 1212 vs Vydra 1336
Vydra
Correct
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Akopyan 40% vs Vydra 80%
Vydra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akopyan 50% vs Vydra 70%
Vydra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Akopyan -1 · Vydra -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Vydra)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.75 / Vydra 1.40
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Vydra)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457106
Akopyan2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 56 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back24% 25 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 54
Vydra1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 30 of 63
Up 2–0, closes it88% 15 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it70% 21 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan3wins
AwayVydra7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderVydra leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan33.3%1 of 3
AwayVydra71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan3Vydra7n = 10Vydra took 7 of 10
S2Akopyan5Vydra5n = 10split evenly
S3Akopyan5Vydra5n = 10split evenly
S4Akopyan4Vydra5n = 9Vydra took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanVydraA − VBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.040.6−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanVydraBasisWin rate · lifetime239 / 554 vs 111 / 22643.1%49.1%239 / 554 vs 111 / 226Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VydraAkopyan 2.75/Vydra 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.3%
Vydra · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vydra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan—7111151M. Vydra—11813113
LAug 10 · 05:30A. Akopyan—1181141M. Vydra—71111163
WAug 3 · 10:30A. Akopyan—111112133M. Vydra—3814111
WJul 23 · 08:33A. Akopyan—51211113M. Vydra—1110721
LJul 23 · 06:00A. Akopyan—12413101M. Vydra—141111123
LJul 9 · 08:28A. Akopyan—910110M. Vydra—1112133
WJul 9 · 07:30A. Akopyan—41111113M. Vydra—113991
LJun 14 · 06:45A. Akopyan—115111182M. Vydra—131179113
LMar 15 · 14:30A. Akopyan—71111952M. Vydra—118711113
LDec 23 · 18:20A. Akopyan—119471M. Vydra—41111113
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932WAug 10 · 06:30M. Vydra1.30128117113A. Skyba3.40101141182
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