TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12392458
Played Aug 10Finished
Milan Vydra
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
8111131214119113
Filip Fryml
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:17 and never touched — 63.9% is still 63.9%
Graded at full timeMilan Vydra to win
63.9%
63.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-3
Set 3 · 12-14
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 93 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Milan Vydra at 63.9%
93 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vydra 1–0 Filip Fryml Filip Fryml has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fryml
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vydra 1336 vs Fryml 1316
Vydra
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vydra 100% vs Fryml 20%
Vydra
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vydra 60% vs Fryml 20%
Vydra
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vydra +5 · Fryml -1
Vydra
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fryml) · live re-read · sealed at 36% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVydra 2.00 / Fryml 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fryml)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #12392458
Vydra2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Fryml1.73
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite64% won 30 of 47
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeVydra1wins
AwayFryml0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderVydra leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricVydraFrymlV − FBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.040.0+13.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVydraFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 236 vs 65 / 13048.7%50%115 / 236 vs 65 / 130Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrymlVydra 2.00/Fryml 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fryml · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vydra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra—8111211113F. Fryml—11314932
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 06:30M. Vydra1.30128117113A. Skyba3.40101141182
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123
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