TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022477
Played Aug 27Finished
Michal Snizek
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711711114911––
Filip Fryml
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:55 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Snizek above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 71 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Michal Snizek at 62.9%
71 points played in total.
H2H Michal Snizek 7–5 Filip Fryml Filip Fryml has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:55What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Snizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Snizek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Snizek 1378 vs Fryml 1325
Snizek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Snizek 40% vs Fryml 60%
Fryml
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Snizek 60% vs Fryml 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Snizek -1 · Fryml +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Snizek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSnizek 1.50 / Fryml 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Snizek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13022477
Snizek1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Fryml2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSnizek6wins
AwayFryml4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSnizek83.3%5 of 6
AwayFryml75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Snizek6Fryml4n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S2Snizek2Fryml8n = 10Fryml took 8 of 10
S3Snizek8Fryml2n = 10Snizek took 8 of 10
S4Snizek8Fryml1n = 9Snizek took 8 of 9
S5Snizek1Fryml3n = 4Fryml took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSnizekFrymlS − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.640.0+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSnizekFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime170 / 326 vs 71 / 14252.2%50%170 / 326 vs 71 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekSnizek 1.50/Fryml 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.9%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek—771191F. Fryml—11114113
LAug 26 · 07:00M. Snizek—47111192F. Fryml—111197113
LJun 19 · 05:30M. Snizek—96111122F. Fryml—111193113
WSep 22 · 12:34M. Snizek—111111123F. Fryml—1368101
WSep 22 · 10:30M. Snizek—1111113F. Fryml—9880
WSep 19 · 08:34M. Snizek—11911113F. Fryml—711991
WSep 19 · 05:24M. Snizek—11413113F. Fryml—8111141
WSep 15 · 05:30M. Snizek—14913123F. Fryml—121111101
LSep 8 · 17:00M. Snizek—1191011102F. Fryml—611125123
WSep 8 · 14:00M. Snizek—11101011113F. Fryml—61212982
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 07:30M. Holub2.0081211113M. Snizek1.731110881
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.