TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13022528
Played Aug 27Finished
Filip Fryml
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012117119118––
Marcel Cmil
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:58 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeFilip Fryml to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingFilip Fryml above · Marcel Cmil below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 79 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Filip Fryml at 54.1%
79 points played in total.
H2H Filip Fryml 6–4 Marcel Cmil Marcel Cmil has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:58What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Fryml
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Fryml
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fryml 1336 vs Cmil 1356
Cmil
Wrong
both rated, 21 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fryml 60% vs Cmil 40%
Fryml
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fryml 50% vs Cmil 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Fryml -1 · Cmil -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fryml)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFryml 1.73 / Cmil 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fryml)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13022528
Fryml1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 29 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it94% 16 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Cmil2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog47% won 64 of 136
Down 0–1, comes back31% 23 of 74
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFryml6wins
AwayCmil4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFryml leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFryml75%3 of 4
AwayCmil50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fryml4Cmil6n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S2Fryml8Cmil2n = 10Fryml took 8 of 10
S3Fryml4Cmil6n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S4Fryml4Cmil6n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S5Fryml3Cmil1n = 4Fryml took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFrymlCmilF − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.342.9−0.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrymlCmilBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 141 vs 367 / 68150.4%53.9%71 / 141 vs 367 / 681Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FrymlFryml 1.73/Cmil 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Fryml · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml—101111113M. Cmil—127981
WJun 8 · 07:00F. Fryml—915139113M. Cmil—1113111152
WApr 22 · 07:30F. Fryml—612911113M. Cmil—111011672
WMar 20 · 17:58F. Fryml—11911113M. Cmil—511991
LMar 20 · 15:30F. Fryml—1111961M. Cmil—13911113
WFeb 25 · 13:54F. Fryml—111189113M. Cmil—98111182
LFeb 25 · 11:00F. Fryml—11113882M. Cmil—931111113
LNov 27 · 08:00F. Fryml—4151071M. Cmil—111312113
WOct 17 · 12:32F. Fryml—11124123M. Cmil—71011101
LOct 17 · 11:30F. Fryml—291171M. Cmil—11119113
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113WSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122
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