TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015027
Played Aug 26Finished
Filip Fryml
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114117911711119
Michal Snizek
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Snizek to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingFilip Fryml above · Michal Snizek below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Michal Snizek at 67.5%
91 points played in total.
H2H Filip Fryml 5–7 Michal Snizek Filip Fryml has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Snizek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Snizek
Wrong
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fryml 1325 vs Snizek 1378
Snizek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fryml 40% vs Snizek 60%
Snizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fryml 40% vs Snizek 60%
Snizek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fryml +1 · Snizek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Snizek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFryml 2.63 / Snizek 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Snizek)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13015027
Fryml2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Snizek1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite55% won 44 of 80
Up 2–0, closes it87% 20 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFryml4wins
AwaySnizek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSnizek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFryml75%3 of 4
AwaySnizek83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fryml4Snizek6n = 10Snizek took 6 of 10
S2Fryml8Snizek2n = 10Fryml took 8 of 10
S3Fryml2Snizek8n = 10Snizek took 8 of 10
S4Fryml1Snizek8n = 9Snizek took 8 of 9
S5Fryml3Snizek1n = 4Fryml took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricFrymlSnizekF − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.042.6−2.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFrymlSnizekBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 142 vs 170 / 32650%52.2%71 / 142 vs 170 / 326Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SnizekFryml 2.63/Snizek 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Snizek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fryml won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 06:00F. Fryml—11114113M. Snizek—771191
WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml—111197113M. Snizek—47111192
WJun 19 · 05:30F. Fryml—111193113M. Snizek—96111122
LSep 22 · 12:34F. Fryml—1368101M. Snizek—111111123
LSep 22 · 10:30F. Fryml—9880M. Snizek—1111113
LSep 19 · 08:34F. Fryml—711991M. Snizek—11911113
LSep 19 · 05:24F. Fryml—8111141M. Snizek—11413113
LSep 15 · 05:30F. Fryml—121111101M. Snizek—14913123
WSep 8 · 17:00F. Fryml—611125123M. Snizek—1191011102
LSep 8 · 14:00F. Fryml—61212982M. Snizek—11101011113
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982LAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik1.611113113F. Fryml2.2061160WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
M. Snizek10
WSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113LSep 4 · 07:30M. Snizek2.2061151172M. Vorel1.61117118113LSep 4 · 06:30M. Snizek2.6310660J. Puk1.441211113WSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151LAug 29 · 21:05M. Snizek1.44911471M. Cmil2.6311511113WAug 29 · 20:00M. Snizek1.8381111113P. Moulis1.83117371WAug 29 · 18:30M. Cmil1.57118661M. Snizek2.2531111113LAug 29 · 18:00J. Seeman2.7551111113M. Snizek1.40114681WAug 27 · 08:33M. Cmil2.386760M. Snizek1.531111113LAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113
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