TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13015118
Played Aug 26Finished
Julius Krejcik
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161311116––––
Filip Fryml
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJulius Krejcik above · Filip Fryml below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 58 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 57.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Julius Krejcik 1–1 Filip Fryml Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krejcik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejcik 1397 vs Fryml 1325
Krejcik
Correct
both rated, 73 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejcik 60% vs Fryml 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejcik 60% vs Fryml 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejcik -1 · Fryml +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Krejcik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fryml form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejcik 1.61 / Fryml 2.20
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Krejcik)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13015118
Krejcik1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 19 of 30
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Fryml2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog47% won 17 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back30% 6 of 20
Down 0–2, comes back15% 2 of 13
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrejcik1wins
AwayFryml1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKrejcikFrymlK − FBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.035.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejcikFrymlBasisWin rate · lifetime22 / 35 vs 71 / 14262.9%50%22 / 35 vs 71 / 142Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikKrejcik 1.61/Fryml 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 26 · 08:39J. Krejcik—11129982F. Fryml—4101111113
WAug 26 · 07:30J. Krejcik—1113113F. Fryml—61160
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981LAug 28 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.91412341P. Moulis1.8011101142
F. Fryml10
LAug 27 · 09:03F. Fryml1.835790M. Holub1.831111113WAug 27 · 08:00F. Fryml1.73101111113M. Cmil2.00127981LAug 27 · 06:30M. Holub1.808121110113F. Fryml1.91111061292WAug 27 · 06:00M. Snizek1.50771191F. Fryml2.5011114113WAug 26 · 08:39F. Fryml3.504101111113J. Krejcik1.2811129982WAug 26 · 07:00F. Fryml2.63111197113M. Snizek1.4447111192WAug 26 · 06:00F. Fryml2.6311611113P. Cizek1.44711671LAug 12 · 09:03D. Sabuka1.731111113F. Fryml2.004560LAug 12 · 08:00F. Fryml1.57651111102D. Sabuka2.25111118123WAug 12 · 06:30M. Holub1.6179111182F. Fryml2.20111163113
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