TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13031463
Played Aug 28Finished
Julius Krejcik
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
411121031144––
Pavel Moulis
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:01 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeJulius Krejcik to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Krejcik above · Pavel Moulis below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-4
Point 59 set 4, 4-4 — our read held Julius Krejcik at 57.5%
59 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:01What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Moulis
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Krejcik 1394 vs Moulis 1338
Krejcik
Wrong
both rated, 56 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejcik 40% vs Moulis 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejcik 60% vs Moulis 40%
Krejcik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejcik +1 · Moulis +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krejcik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Moulis form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejcik 1.91 / Moulis 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krejcik)+5.5pp
Setka Cup · #13031463
Krejcik1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Moulis1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite45% won 23 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it69% 18 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejcikMoulisBasisWin rate · lifetime23 / 37 vs 194 / 42762.2%45.4%23 / 37 vs 194 / 427Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrejcikKrejcik 1.91/Moulis 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krejcik · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Moulis won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981WAug 28 · 10:30J. Jnr1.91911118142J. Krejcik1.80119811163
P. Moulis10
LSep 4 · 08:53P. Moulis2.3831111892M. Snizek1.53118611113WSep 4 · 08:00J. Puk1.6711141110142P. Moulis2.10816912163LSep 4 · 07:00M. Vorel1.3681111113P. Moulis3.00113531LSep 4 · 05:30M. Snizek1.6111116113P. Moulis2.20561151WSep 2 · 12:39P. Moulis2.3811121112113P. Cizek1.5381471472LSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102LSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151LSep 2 · 09:30P. Cizek1.7391111113P. Moulis2.00112791WAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.