TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067641
Played Sep 3Finished
Julius Krejcik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113119114––––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:32 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJulius Krejcik above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 49 set 3, 11-4 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
H2H Julius Krejcik 0–1 Jan Seeman Julius Krejcik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:32What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seeman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krejcik 1366 vs Seeman 1323
Krejcik
Correct
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krejcik 40% vs Seeman 80%
Seeman
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krejcik 40% vs Seeman 60%
Seeman
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krejcik +1 · Seeman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrejcik 2.00 / Seeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seeman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13067641
Krejcik2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Seeman1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 34 of 52
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it86% 24 of 28
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKrejcik0wins
AwaySeeman1wins
Seeman leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKrejcikSeemanK − SBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match34.044.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrejcikSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 44 vs 133 / 27859.1%47.8%26 / 44 vs 133 / 278Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanKrejcik 2.00/Seeman 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krejcik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik—713591J. Seeman—111111113
J. Krejcik10
LSep 3 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.8391170J. Blazek1.831113113LSep 3 · 11:30J. Blazek1.731071513113J. Krejcik2.001211131162WSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113LAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100WAug 28 · 12:28J. Krejcik1.6111511113J. Jnr2.20711981LAug 28 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.91412341P. Moulis1.8011101142WAug 28 · 10:30J. Jnr1.91911118142J. Krejcik1.80119811163
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122LAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
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