TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13049679
Played Aug 31Finished
Viktor Kucala
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511118911911––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Kucala above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 75 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 59.3%
75 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Kucala 4–3 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:26What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-3 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucala 1173 vs Seeman 1286
Seeman
Correct
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucala 0% vs Seeman 40%
Seeman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucala 30% vs Seeman 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucala -5 · Seeman +1
Kucala
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucala 2.25 / Seeman 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Seeman)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13049679
Kucala2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 19 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Seeman1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 33 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it85% 17 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it85% 23 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKucala4wins
AwaySeeman3wins
4 of 7 to a deciderKucala leads 4–3, and 4 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucala66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeeman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucala3Seeman4n = 7Seeman took 4 of 7
S2Kucala2Seeman5n = 7Seeman took 5 of 7
S3Kucala3Seeman4n = 7Seeman took 4 of 7
S4Kucala4Seeman2n = 6Kucala took 4 of 6
S5Kucala3Seeman1n = 4Kucala took 3 of 4
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home343%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKucalaSeemanK − SBasisWins43+1in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match44.445.3−0.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucalaSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 277 vs 134 / 28145.5%47.7%126 / 277 vs 134 / 281Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanKucala 2.25/Seeman 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala—71280J. Seeman—1114113
LAug 15 · 13:30V. Kucala—651161J. Seeman—11118113
WApr 4 · 13:30V. Kucala—11111012113J. Seeman—67121492
WMar 14 · 18:30V. Kucala—571111123J. Seeman—111167102
WMar 8 · 11:00V. Kucala—1111811113J. Seeman—91311852
WNov 29 · 21:38V. Kucala—111111213J. Seeman—1398191
LNov 29 · 20:00V. Kucala—11791392J. Seeman—8111111113
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100WAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala2.201311113J. Krejcik1.6111880
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122WAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113
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