TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13043857
Played Aug 30Finished
Viktor Kucala
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7111214811––––
Jan Seeman
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJan Seeman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Kucala above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 63 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Jan Seeman at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Kucala 4–2 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:50What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Seeman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Kucala
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucala 1219 vs Seeman 1277
Seeman
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucala 60% vs Seeman 40%
Kucala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucala 60% vs Seeman 40%
Kucala
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucala -1 · Seeman -3
Seeman
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Seeman)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucala 2.00 / Seeman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Seeman)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13043857
Kucala2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 19 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back16% 6 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Seeman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite63% won 31 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it84% 16 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it85% 22 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKucala4wins
AwaySeeman2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderKucala leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucala66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeeman33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucala3Seeman3n = 6split evenly
S2Kucala2Seeman4n = 6Seeman took 4 of 6
S3Kucala3Seeman3n = 6split evenly
S4Kucala4Seeman2n = 6Kucala took 4 of 6
S5Kucala3Seeman1n = 4Kucala took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKucalaSeemanK − SBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match47.346.8+0.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucalaSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 273 vs 132 / 27746.2%47.7%126 / 273 vs 132 / 277Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SeemanKucala 2.00/Seeman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Seeman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 15 · 13:30V. Kucala—651161J. Seeman—11118113
WApr 4 · 13:30V. Kucala—11111012113J. Seeman—67121492
WMar 14 · 18:30V. Kucala—571111123J. Seeman—111167102
WMar 8 · 11:00V. Kucala—1111811113J. Seeman—91311852
WNov 29 · 21:38V. Kucala—111111213J. Seeman—1398191
LNov 29 · 20:00V. Kucala—11791392J. Seeman—8111111113
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100WAug 24 · 10:30V. Kucala2.201311113J. Krejcik1.6111880
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
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