TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067415
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012911––––
Jan Seeman
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:48 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeJakub Dufek Jnr to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingJakub Dufek Jnr above · Jan Seeman below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jakub Dufek Jnr at 60.9%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Dufek Jnr 14–7 Jan Seeman Jan Seeman has won 7 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 21:48What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Jnr
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-7 in 21
Jnr
Wrong
gap of 7 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jnr 1313 vs Seeman 1311
Jnr
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jnr 40% vs Seeman 60%
Seeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jnr 40% vs Seeman 60%
Seeman
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jnr -3 · Seeman -1
Jnr
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Seeman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJnr 1.57 / Seeman 2.25
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jnr)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13067415
Jnr1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 94 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it74% 67 of 90
Seeman2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 34 of 94
Down 0–1, comes back25% 13 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJnr7wins
AwaySeeman3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJnr66.7%2 of 3
AwaySeeman28.6%2 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jnr3Seeman7n = 10Seeman took 7 of 10
S2Jnr5Seeman5n = 10split evenly
S3Jnr7Seeman3n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Jnr8Seeman1n = 9Jnr took 8 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricJnrSeemanJ − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.737.8+2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJnrSeemanBasisWin rate · lifetime242 / 467 vs 133 / 27951.8%47.7%242 / 467 vs 133 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrJnr 1.57/Seeman 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.9%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Seeman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 23 · 21:03J. Jnr—7850J. Seeman—1111113
WAug 23 · 20:00J. Jnr—61112123J. Seeman—11310101
WAug 16 · 17:00J. Jnr—111013113J. Seeman—9121181
WAug 16 · 16:00J. Jnr—51111113J. Seeman—118581
WJul 24 · 18:30J. Jnr—101111113J. Seeman—126861
LJul 18 · 20:59J. Jnr—11861262J. Seeman—9111110113
WJul 18 · 18:00J. Jnr—8121211113J. Seeman—111014482
WJul 18 · 12:58J. Jnr—121111113J. Seeman—149961
LJul 18 · 12:00J. Jnr—871191J. Seeman—11118113
WJul 16 · 13:08J. Jnr—111011113J. Seeman—512931
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 11:00J. Jnr2.387111211113M. Vorel1.53118101372
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113LAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122LAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.