TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13065035
Played Sep 2Finished
Martin Holub
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311117––––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMartin Holub above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 62 set 3, 11-7
62 points played in total.
H2H Martin Holub 33–28 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 28 of their 61 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 2.00 / Jnr 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Jnr)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13065035
Holub2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog52% won 68 of 132
Down 0–1, comes back28% 17 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Jnr1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 91 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it92% 44 of 48
Up 1–0, closes it74% 64 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub3wins
AwayJnr7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub33.3%2 of 6
AwayJnr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub6Jnr4n = 10Holub took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S3Holub4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S4Holub3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S5Holub1Jnr2n = 3Jnr took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubJnrH − JBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.440.9−2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 669 vs 242 / 46855.2%51.7%369 / 669 vs 242 / 468Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.838.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrHolub 2.00/Jnr 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 10:00M. Holub—911791J. Jnr—11911113
WAug 28 · 11:30M. Holub—111011113J. Jnr—712761
LAug 25 · 17:03M. Holub—911591J. Jnr—11911113
LAug 25 · 13:30M. Holub—12841172J. Jnr—1011115113
LJul 18 · 10:00M. Holub—1179101J. Jnr—91111123
LJul 17 · 09:30M. Holub—11411772J. Jnr—511811113
LJul 10 · 16:00M. Holub—651171J. Jnr—11119113
WJul 7 · 16:59M. Holub—51111113J. Jnr—114681
WJul 7 · 13:30M. Holub—111199113J. Jnr—74111192
LJul 1 · 11:00M. Holub—128681J. Jnr—101111113
M. Holub10
WSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460LSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741WSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642WSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490WSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102WSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871LSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.6711911113J. Jnr2.10911491WSep 1 · 11:00J. Jnr2.387111211113M. Vorel1.53118101372
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