TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079253
Played Sep 5Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210114119––––
Martin Holub
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMartin Holub to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongpick shipped
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Martin Holub at 54.0%
57 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 68–51 Martin Holub Martin Holub has won 51 of their 119 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:37What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Holub
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-51 in 119
Akopyan
Correct
gap of 17 in 119, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Akopyan 1205 vs Holub 1424
Holub
Wrong
both rated, 218 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Akopyan 40% vs Holub 60%
Holub
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akopyan 40% vs Holub 70%
Holub
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Akopyan -1 · Holub +3
Holub
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and the gate let it through as .
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Holub) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.00 / Holub 1.73
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Holub)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13079253
Akopyan2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Holub1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 105 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it100% 52 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 77 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan3wins
AwayHolub7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan33.3%1 of 3
AwayHolub71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan3Holub7n = 10Holub took 7 of 10
S2Akopyan6Holub4n = 10Akopyan took 6 of 10
S3Akopyan3Holub7n = 10Holub took 7 of 10
S4Akopyan4Holub5n = 9Holub took 5 of 9
S5Akopyan1Holub2n = 3Holub took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanHolubA − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.740.0−3.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime227 / 525 vs 370 / 67043.2%55.2%227 / 525 vs 370 / 670Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubAkopyan 2.00/Holub 1.73
Miss
What we said
56.9%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Akopyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 19 · 13:15A. Akopyan—124471M. Holub—101111113
LAug 19 · 09:30A. Akopyan—9770M. Holub—1111113
WAug 16 · 20:00A. Akopyan—11114113M. Holub—691171
WAug 13 · 12:29A. Akopyan—111211123M. Holub—13106101
LAug 13 · 11:30A. Akopyan—101111382M. Holub—125711113
WAug 6 · 08:00A. Akopyan—711911113M. Holub—11511852
LAug 4 · 11:30A. Akopyan—117781M. Holub—71111113
LAug 2 · 09:09A. Akopyan—10511101M. Holub—12113123
LAug 2 · 08:00A. Akopyan—811841M. Holub—11811113
LJul 31 · 09:23A. Akopyan—61151282M. Holub—1141110113
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140LAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113
M. Holub10
WSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460LSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741WSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642WSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562WSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102WAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471
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