Artur Akopyan vs Patrik Muller 3-1

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13088442

Played Sep 6Finished

Artur Akopyan

Home

2.10

At publish

Won last 1

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Won last 1

Final

3 – 1

Set by set

12101311611119––

Patrik Muller

Away

1.67

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Patrik Muller below

Set 1 · 12-10

Set 2 · 13-11

Set 3 · 6-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Point 83 set 4, 11-9

83 points played in total.

H2H Artur Akopyan 12–9 Patrik Muller Patrik Muller has won 9 of their 21 meetings.

Last 10 · 5–5Head to head

Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Muller)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Muller form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsAkopyan 2.10 / Muller 1.67

Signal prob.44% / 56%

Edge (Muller)+0.0pp

Setka Cup · #13088442

Akopyan2.10

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog34% won 52 of 154

Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 101

Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55

Muller1.67

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 6 of 10

Up 1–0, closes it83% 5 of 6

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeAkopyan5wins

AwayMuller5wins

4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeAkopyan100%5 of 5

AwayMuller100%5 of 5

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Akopyan5Muller5n = 10split evenly

S2Akopyan3Muller7n = 10Muller took 7 of 10

S3Akopyan4Muller6n = 10Muller took 6 of 10

S4Akopyan5Muller1n = 6Akopyan took 5 of 6

S5Akopyan2Muller2n = 4split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home110%

3–1Four sets, home220%

3–2Decider, home220%

2–3Decider, away220%

1–3Four sets, away00%

0–3Straight, away330%

These 10 meetings

MetricAkopyanMullerA − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.438.2−0.8per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricAkopyanMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 528 vs 66 / 14643.4%45.2%229 / 528 vs 66 / 146Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Muller

Akopyan 2.10/Muller 1.67

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

55.8%

Muller · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–1

Akopyan won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LSep 6 · 14:00A. Akopyan—3990P. Muller—1111113

LApr 2 · 12:28A. Akopyan—107100P. Muller—1211123

LApr 2 · 10:30A. Akopyan—56111162P. Muller—111195113

LJan 18 · 12:45A. Akopyan—71171192P. Muller—115117113

WJan 15 · 17:00A. Akopyan—117113113P. Muller—71191122

WJan 6 · 11:00A. Akopyan—13611113P. Muller—1111571

WDec 23 · 16:30A. Akopyan—1351313113P. Muller—1111151162

LDec 12 · 11:00A. Akopyan—610100P. Muller—1112123

WDec 11 · 13:00A. Akopyan—1111113P. Muller—9680

WDec 3 · 13:00A. Akopyan—111110123P. Muller—5912101

A. Akopyan10

WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741 LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450 LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990 LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642 LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113 LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113 WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490 LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471 WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140 LAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113

P. Muller10

LSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110 LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113 WSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990 LJun 28 · 13:00P. Muller2.6381070J. Jnr1.441112113 LJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131 LJun 28 · 11:00M. Vydra1.30811511113P. Muller3.4011411732 LJun 28 · 09:30M. Cmil1.4013911113P. Muller2.751111851 LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller2.384680J. Krejcik1.531111113 WJun 26 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.538101161P. Muller2.3811125113 LJun 26 · 11:00L. Krutina1.571311113P. Muller2.2511480

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