TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12102703
Played Jun 26Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311114118––––
Patrik Muller
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Patrik Muller below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 58 set 3, 11-8
58 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 6–2 Patrik Muller Patrik Muller has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Muller form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.57 / Muller 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Krutina)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #12102703
Krutina1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite55% won 32 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it100% 12 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it72% 18 of 25
Muller2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 25 of 62
Down 0–1, comes back24% 7 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back15% 3 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeKrutina6wins
AwayMuller2wins
6 of 8 to a deciderKrutina leads 6–2, and 6 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutina100%3 of 3
AwayMuller40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina3Muller5n = 8Muller took 5 of 8
S2Krutina5Muller3n = 8Krutina took 5 of 8
S3Krutina2Muller6n = 8Muller took 6 of 8
S4Krutina6Muller1n = 7Krutina took 6 of 7
S5Krutina5Muller1n = 6Krutina took 5 of 6
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home113%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home563%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away113%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricKrutinaMullerK − MBasisWins62+4in 8 meetingsFirst set35−2of 8Avg pointsper match47.543.4+4.1per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime176 / 347 vs 84 / 21450.7%39.3%176 / 347 vs 84 / 214Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaKrutina 1.57/Muller 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WJun 22 · 12:00L. Krutina—9111012143P. Muller—1191210122
LJun 13 · 16:16L. Krutina—6131381P. Muller—111115113
LJun 13 · 14:15L. Krutina—991111102P. Muller—111188123
WJun 10 · 12:58L. Krutina—127711113P. Muller—101111672
WJun 10 · 12:00L. Krutina—1111123P. Muller—96100
WJun 6 · 10:00L. Krutina—119511113P. Muller—71111452
WFeb 2 · 18:15L. Krutina—10111111113P. Muller—12413692
WFeb 2 · 17:00L. Krutina—1111711113P. Muller—13711842
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina2.256580D. Sabuka1.571111113
P. Muller10
LSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191LSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LJun 28 · 13:00P. Muller2.6381070J. Jnr1.441112113LJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131LJun 28 · 11:00M. Vydra1.30811511113P. Muller3.4011411732LJun 28 · 09:30M. Cmil1.4013911113P. Muller2.751111851LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller2.384680J. Krejcik1.531111113WJun 26 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.538101161P. Muller2.3811125113
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