TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12356738
Played Aug 4Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611511811––––
David Sabuka
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:05 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
58.9%
58.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held David Sabuka at 58.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 0–2 David Sabuka Lukas Krutina has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:05What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Krutina 1324 vs Sabuka 1321
Krutina
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutina 60% vs Sabuka 40%
Krutina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutina 60% vs Sabuka 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutina +3 · Sabuka -1
Krutina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 2.25 / Sabuka 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12356738
Krutina2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog51% won 27 of 53
Down 0–1, comes back27% 8 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Sabuka1.57
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 52 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 33 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKrutina0wins
AwaySabuka2wins
Sabuka leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKrutinaSabukaK − SBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match25.537.5−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime103 / 204 vs 249 / 53150.5%46.9%103 / 204 vs 249 / 531Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaKrutina 2.25/Sabuka 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina—6580D. Sabuka—1111113
LAug 3 · 11:00L. Krutina—481191D. Sabuka—11119113
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780WAug 4 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.63512141172L. Krutina1.441110167113
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
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