TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079270
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukas Krutina
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11910121210911911
Martin Holub
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLukas Krutina above · Martin Holub below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 104 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 54.0%
104 points played in total.
H2H Lukas Krutina 30–25 Martin Holub Martin Holub has won 25 of their 55 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:41What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Krutina
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-25 in 55
Krutina
Wrong
gap of 5 in 55, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutina 1371 vs Holub 1389
Holub
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutina 80% vs Holub 60%
Krutina
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutina 80% vs Holub 50%
Krutina
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutina +4 · Holub -2
Krutina
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutina form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutina 1.80 / Holub 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krutina)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13079270
Krutina1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 32 of 60
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Holub1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog52% won 67 of 129
Down 0–1, comes back31% 18 of 59
Down 0–2, comes back12% 3 of 25
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutina6wins
AwayHolub4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrutina leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutina80%4 of 5
AwayHolub60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutina5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S2Krutina5Holub5n = 10split evenly
S3Krutina6Holub4n = 10Krutina took 6 of 10
S4Krutina7Holub2n = 9Krutina took 7 of 9
S5Krutina2Holub3n = 5Holub took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutinaHolubK − HBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.939.0+1.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutinaHolubBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 211 vs 365 / 66451.7%55%109 / 211 vs 365 / 664Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.439.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaKrutina 1.80/Holub 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 4 · 10:00L. Krutina—11311113M. Holub—611621
LJun 28 · 20:58L. Krutina—8118101M. Holub—11911123
WJun 28 · 20:00L. Krutina—11811113M. Holub—611991
LJun 26 · 12:28L. Krutina—41341162M. Holub—1111119113
LJun 26 · 11:30L. Krutina—76111172M. Holub—111169113
LJun 21 · 06:00L. Krutina—11681192M. Holub—911116113
WJun 18 · 16:00L. Krutina—661111123M. Holub—111189102
WJun 13 · 15:45L. Krutina—1111113M. Holub—5940
WJun 12 · 07:00L. Krutina—1111107113M. Holub—76121142
WApr 18 · 15:45L. Krutina—91111103M. Holub—115961
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina2.256580D. Sabuka1.571111113WAug 4 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.63512141172L. Krutina1.441110167113
M. Holub10
WSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460LSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741WSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490WSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102WSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113
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