TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13088537
Played Sep 6Finished
Martin Holub
Home
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115114116––––
Vaclav Coubal
Away
6.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingMartin Holub above · Vaclav Coubal below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 48 set 3, 11-6
48 points played in total.
H2H Martin Holub 35–29 Vaclav Coubal Vaclav Coubal has won 29 of their 64 meetings.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Holub)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coubal form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (17%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolub 1.11 / Coubal 6.00
Signal prob.87% / 13%
Edge (Holub)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13088537
Holub1.11
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite60% won 106 of 178
Up 2–0, closes it98% 52 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it76% 77 of 102
Coubal6.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog36% won 39 of 109
Down 0–1, comes back15% 9 of 60
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolub7wins
AwayCoubal3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHolub leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolub100%4 of 4
AwayCoubal50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holub4Coubal6n = 10Coubal took 6 of 10
S2Holub4Coubal6n = 10Coubal took 6 of 10
S3Holub7Coubal3n = 10Holub took 7 of 10
S4Holub5Coubal3n = 8Holub took 5 of 8
S5Holub3Coubal0n = 3Holub took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolubCoubalH − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.536.1+4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolubCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime366 / 665 vs 178 / 38055%46.8%366 / 665 vs 178 / 380Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolubHolub 1.11/Coubal 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.2%
Holub · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holub won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 13:30M. Holub—1011811113V. Coubal—12711492
WAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub—11811113V. Coubal—611851
WAug 24 · 18:30M. Holub—61111113V. Coubal—114651
WAug 16 · 18:00M. Holub—1411113V. Coubal—12670
LAug 9 · 15:00M. Holub—9611101V. Coubal—11116123
WJul 26 · 18:30M. Holub—741113113V. Coubal—111191162
LJul 14 · 16:59M. Holub—97100V. Coubal—1111123
WJul 14 · 16:00M. Holub—111310113V. Coubal—3111281
WJul 7 · 14:30M. Holub—1111115113V. Coubal—71381162
LJun 11 · 18:00M. Holub—981181V. Coubal—11113113
M. Holub10
LSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741WSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642WSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113LSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490WSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 12:00M. Holub2.754111311123P. Moulis1.401171113102WSep 2 · 10:30P. Cizek1.83111112642M. Holub1.83941411113
V. Coubal10
WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851LAug 25 · 15:00V. Coubal2.635870J. Jnr1.441111113WAug 25 · 14:00V. Coubal2.5011612113M. Cmil1.507111091LAug 24 · 20:33M. Cmil1.50101111133V. Coubal2.501254111LAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113LAug 24 · 18:30V. Coubal2.63114651M. Holub1.4461111113
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