TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13084260
Played Sep 6Finished
Vaclav Coubal
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117114115––––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:39 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeVaclav Coubal to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVaclav Coubal above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 49 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Vaclav Coubal at 58.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Vaclav Coubal 25–14 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 14 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:39What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Coubal
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-14 in 39
Coubal
Correct
gap of 11 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Coubal 1272 vs Akopyan 1188
Coubal
Correct
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Coubal 40% vs Akopyan 20%
Coubal
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Coubal 30% vs Akopyan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Coubal -1 · Akopyan -4
Akopyan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Coubal) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCoubal 1.61 / Akopyan 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Coubal)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13084260
Coubal1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 65
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it68% 25 of 37
Akopyan2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 52 of 154
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 101
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 55
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCoubal7wins
AwayAkopyan3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderCoubal leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCoubal100%3 of 3
AwayAkopyan42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Coubal3Akopyan7n = 10Akopyan took 7 of 10
S2Coubal7Akopyan3n = 10Coubal took 7 of 10
S3Coubal7Akopyan3n = 10Coubal took 7 of 10
S4Coubal3Akopyan1n = 4Coubal took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricCoubalAkopyanC − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.627.8+5.8per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCoubalAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime178 / 381 vs 230 / 52946.7%43.5%178 / 381 vs 230 / 529Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CoubalCoubal 1.61/Akopyan 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Coubal · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Coubal won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal—1111113A. Akopyan—7450
LAug 16 · 20:38V. Coubal—7860A. Akopyan—1111113
WAug 16 · 19:00V. Coubal—811115113A. Akopyan—11571152
LJul 7 · 16:28V. Coubal—7940A. Akopyan—1111113
WJul 7 · 14:00V. Coubal—91111113A. Akopyan—112451
WJun 24 · 18:00V. Coubal—81111113A. Akopyan—118881
WJun 7 · 13:45V. Coubal—1111113A. Akopyan—1560
WMay 12 · 07:00V. Coubal—51311113A. Akopyan—1111551
LMay 5 · 12:00V. Coubal—101160A. Akopyan—1213113
WMar 29 · 14:00V. Coubal—1111113A. Akopyan—6590
V. Coubal10
LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851LAug 25 · 15:00V. Coubal2.635870J. Jnr1.441111113WAug 25 · 14:00V. Coubal2.5011612113M. Cmil1.507111091LAug 24 · 20:33M. Cmil1.50101111133V. Coubal2.501254111LAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113LAug 24 · 18:30V. Coubal2.63114651M. Holub1.4461111113
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140LAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113
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