Marcel Cmil vs Vaclav Coubal 0-3

TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup

Setka CupMatch #13014265

Played Aug 25Finished

Marcel Cmil

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

0 – 3

Set by set

1214911911––––

Vaclav Coubal

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

2–8Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingMarcel Cmil above · Vaclav Coubal below

Set 1 · 12-14

Set 2 · 9-11

Set 3 · 9-11

Point 66 set 3, 9-11

66 points played in total.

H2H Marcel Cmil 43–30 Vaclav Coubal Vaclav Coubal has won 30 of their 73 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Cmil)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Coubal form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsCmil 1.57 / Coubal 2.25

Signal prob.67% / 33%

Edge (Cmil)+8.0pp

Setka Cup · #13014265

Cmil1.57

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

30%takes the first set · 3 of 10

As favourite62% won 101 of 163

Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53

Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86

Coubal2.25

20%won 2 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog36% won 38 of 107

Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58

Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeCmil6wins

AwayCoubal4wins

6 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeCmiln = 2, below the 3 needed

AwayCoubal50%4 of 8

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Cmil2Coubal8n = 10Coubal took 8 of 10

S2Cmil9Coubal1n = 10Cmil took 9 of 10

S3Cmil7Coubal3n = 10Cmil took 7 of 10

S4Cmil4Coubal6n = 10Coubal took 6 of 10

S5Cmil3Coubal3n = 6split evenly

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home00%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home330%

2–3Decider, away330%

1–3Four sets, away110%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricCmilCoubalCmil − CoubalBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match43.542.2+1.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricCmilCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime368 / 681 vs 185 / 39254%47.2%368 / 681 vs 185 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.437.2per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Cmil

Cmil 1.57/Coubal 2.25

Read onlywould have missed

What we said

66.9%

Cmil · sealed before the serve

What happened

0–3

Coubal won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 25 · 14:00M. Cmil—7111091V. Coubal—11612113

WAug 24 · 20:33M. Cmil—101111133V. Coubal—1254111

LAug 24 · 17:30M. Cmil—59111142V. Coubal—111195113

WAug 16 · 19:30M. Cmil—411128113V. Coubal—119101142

WJul 28 · 17:30M. Cmil—111395113V. Coubal—511111152

LJul 27 · 14:00M. Cmil—81111822V. Coubal—117811113

WJul 26 · 20:00M. Cmil—111210113V. Coubal—5101281

WJul 14 · 14:00M. Cmil—4111110123V. Coubal—118912102

LJun 29 · 20:59M. Cmil—61211682V. Coubal—1110411113

WJun 29 · 18:30M. Cmil—101111113V. Coubal—128691

M. Cmil10

WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113 WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113 WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562 LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113 WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562 LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113 WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113 LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972 LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113 WSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122

V. Coubal10

LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460 WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110 WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450 LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113 LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851 LAug 25 · 15:00V. Coubal2.635870J. Jnr1.441111113 WAug 25 · 14:00V. Coubal2.5011612113M. Cmil1.507111091 LAug 24 · 20:33M. Cmil1.50101111133V. Coubal2.501254111 LAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113 LAug 24 · 18:30V. Coubal2.63114651M. Holub1.4461111113

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