TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13079237
Played Sep 5Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311611511––––
Marcel Cmil
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeMarcel Cmil to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Marcel Cmil below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 47 set 3, 5-11 — our read held Marcel Cmil at 59.7%
47 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 48–52 Marcel Cmil Artur Akopyan has won 48 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:34What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Cmil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-52 in 100
Cmil
Correct
gap of 4 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Akopyan 1209 vs Cmil 1344
Cmil
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Akopyan 40% vs Cmil 60%
Cmil
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akopyan 40% vs Cmil 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Akopyan -1 · Cmil +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Cmil) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.25 / Cmil 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Cmil)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13079237
Akopyan2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 51 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 53
Cmil1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite61% won 99 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it92% 46 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it76% 66 of 87
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan4wins
AwayCmil6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan60%3 of 5
AwayCmil80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan5Cmil5n = 10split evenly
S2Akopyan4Cmil6n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S3Akopyan5Cmil5n = 10split evenly
S4Akopyan4Cmil4n = 8split evenly
S5Akopyan3Cmil4n = 7Cmil took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanCmilA − CBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.241.8−2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanCmilBasisWin rate · lifetime228 / 524 vs 367 / 67743.5%54.2%228 / 524 vs 367 / 677Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmilAkopyan 2.25/Cmil 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Cmil · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Cmil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan—3650M. Cmil—1111113
LAug 16 · 17:30A. Akopyan—64111152M. Cmil—111158113
LJul 31 · 06:30A. Akopyan—117111282M. Cmil—511314113
LJul 23 · 07:30A. Akopyan—116111262M. Cmil—811314113
WJul 16 · 08:44A. Akopyan—1111113M. Cmil—5440
WJul 16 · 06:30A. Akopyan—111187113M. Cmil—57111172
LJun 24 · 20:58A. Akopyan—751611112M. Cmil—1111149133
WJun 24 · 19:00A. Akopyan—132511113M. Cmil—111111962
LJun 19 · 16:43A. Akopyan—512851M. Cmil—111011113
WJun 19 · 14:45A. Akopyan—811211113M. Cmil—11911592
A. Akopyan10
WSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191WSep 6 · 16:00A. Akopyan2.0091111113M. Holub1.73119741LSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LSep 5 · 12:40M. Holub1.53613311113A. Akopyan2.38111111642LSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 09:30A. Akopyan2.001211113M. Holub1.7310490LAug 19 · 13:15M. Holub1.83101111113A. Akopyan1.83124471WAug 19 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.501113113V. Kucala1.5091140LAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113WSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122LSep 1 · 06:30M. Cervenka2.6311911133M. Cmil1.446114111
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.