TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13006700
Played Aug 24Finished
Marcel Cmil
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121151141311––
Vaclav Coubal
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMarcel Cmil above · Vaclav Coubal below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 13-11
Point 77 set 4, 13-11
77 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Cmil 42–29 Vaclav Coubal Vaclav Coubal has won 29 of their 71 meetings.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Cmil)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Coubal form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmil 1.50 / Coubal 2.50
Signal prob.71% / 30%
Edge (Cmil)+8.0pp
Setka Cup · #13006700
Cmil1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 101 of 163
Up 2–0, closes it91% 48 of 53
Up 1–0, closes it77% 66 of 86
Coubal2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 39 of 106
Down 0–1, comes back16% 9 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmil7wins
AwayCoubal3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmil100%3 of 3
AwayCoubal42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmil3Coubal7n = 10Coubal took 7 of 10
S2Cmil9Coubal1n = 10Cmil took 9 of 10
S3Cmil8Coubal2n = 10Cmil took 8 of 10
S4Cmil3Coubal6n = 9Coubal took 6 of 9
S5Cmil4Coubal3n = 7Cmil took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmilCoubalCmil − CoubalBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match43.741.7+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmilCoubalBasisWin rate · lifetime367 / 681 vs 184 / 38853.9%47.4%367 / 681 vs 184 / 388Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmilCmil 1.50/Coubal 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.5%
Cmil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cmil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 17:30M. Cmil—59111142V. Coubal—111195113
WAug 16 · 19:30M. Cmil—411128113V. Coubal—119101142
WJul 28 · 17:30M. Cmil—111395113V. Coubal—511111152
LJul 27 · 14:00M. Cmil—81111822V. Coubal—117811113
WJul 26 · 20:00M. Cmil—111210113V. Coubal—5101281
WJul 14 · 14:00M. Cmil—4111110123V. Coubal—118912102
LJun 29 · 20:59M. Cmil—61211682V. Coubal—1110411113
WJun 29 · 18:30M. Cmil—101111113V. Coubal—128691
WJun 26 · 19:30M. Cmil—7111110123V. Coubal—117612102
WJun 24 · 20:00M. Cmil—1111113V. Coubal—7680
M. Cmil10
WSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113WSep 5 · 11:30A. Akopyan2.253650M. Cmil1.571111113WSep 5 · 11:00M. Cmil2.00951111113M. Holub1.7311119562LSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113WSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 06:00A. Skyba2.381411611113M. Cmil1.5316811972LSep 1 · 09:14M. Cmil1.61971171M. Cervenka2.2011117113WSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122
V. Coubal10
LSep 6 · 17:08M. Holub1.111111113V. Coubal6.005460WSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110WSep 6 · 14:30V. Coubal1.611111113A. Akopyan2.207450LSep 6 · 13:30V. Coubal3.4012711492M. Holub1.301011811113WAug 25 · 16:34M. Cmil1.5712990V. Coubal2.251411113LAug 25 · 15:30M. Holub1.4411811113V. Coubal2.63611851LAug 25 · 15:00V. Coubal2.635870J. Jnr1.441111113WAug 25 · 14:00V. Coubal2.5011612113M. Cmil1.507111091LAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113LAug 24 · 18:30V. Coubal2.63114651M. Holub1.4461111113
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