TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13067647
Played Sep 3Finished
Jan Vrnak
Home
3.40
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 5
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1147117111012––
Lukas Krutina
Away
1.30
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:33 and never touched — 73.5% is still 73.5%
Graded at full timeLukas Krutina to win
73.5%
73.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vrnak above · Lukas Krutina below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 73 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Lukas Krutina at 73.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vrnak 1–4 Lukas Krutina Jan Vrnak has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:33What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Krutina
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-4 in 5
Krutina
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vrnak 1174 vs Krutina 1333
Krutina
Correct
both rated, 159 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrnak 0% vs Krutina 80%
Krutina
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrnak 20% vs Krutina 60%
Krutina
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrnak -5 · Krutina +1
Vrnak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Krutina)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vrnak form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrnak 3.40 / Krutina 1.30
Signal prob.27% / 74%
Edge (Krutina)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13067647
Vrnak3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 19 of 55
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 20
Krutina1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 31 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it73% 22 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeVrnak1wins
AwayKrutina4wins
1 of 5 to a deciderKrutina leads 4–1, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrnakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrutina100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrnak2Krutina3n = 5Krutina took 3 of 5
S2Vrnak3Krutina2n = 5Vrnak took 3 of 5
S3Vrnak3Krutina2n = 5Vrnak took 3 of 5
S4Vrnak0Krutina4n = 4Krutina took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away360%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricVrnakKrutinaV − KBasisWins14−3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match31.237.0−5.8per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrnakKrutinaBasisWin rate · lifetime94 / 211 vs 104 / 20544.6%50.7%94 / 211 vs 104 / 205Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutinaVrnak 3.40/Krutina 1.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.5%
Krutina · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krutina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LJun 8 · 06:30J. Vrnak—721141L. Krutina—11119113
LApr 28 · 18:30J. Vrnak—811451L. Krutina—11311113
LApr 21 · 19:30J. Vrnak—11116652L. Krutina—721111113
LApr 9 · 18:30J. Vrnak—8111121L. Krutina—11137113
WFeb 11 · 08:00J. Vrnak—1111113L. Krutina—6890
J. Vrnak10
LSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113LSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LAug 8 · 20:33J. Vrnak3.3051290M. Vydra1.251114113LAug 8 · 19:30M. Vydra1.401111113J. Vrnak2.755920LAug 8 · 19:00J. Vrnak2.20711471D. Sabuka1.6111911103LAug 8 · 18:00J. Vrnak2.38416971M. Holub1.53111411113LAug 6 · 09:10M. Holub1.4471J. Vrnak2.6350WAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113WAug 6 · 07:00J. Vrnak1.801111113A. Akopyan1.914690
L. Krutina10
LSep 5 · 13:08L. Krutina1.8511119972M. Cmil1.85791111113LSep 5 · 12:00L. Krutina1.80111012992M. Holub1.919121011113WSep 5 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.754890L. Krutina1.401111113WSep 5 · 10:00M. Cmil1.8311811892L. Krutina1.83911911113WSep 3 · 09:03L. Krutina2.101111610133A. Skyba1.67971112112WSep 3 · 08:00M. Cmil1.807111191L. Krutina1.9111137113LSep 3 · 07:00A. Skyba2.381111113L. Krutina1.535670WAug 4 · 12:29L. Krutina1.441111113A. Akopyan2.636780LAug 4 · 12:00L. Krutina2.256580D. Sabuka1.571111113WAug 4 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.63512141172L. Krutina1.441110167113
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