TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378911
Played Aug 8Finished
Jan Vrnak
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711119411710––
David Sabuka
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:02 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDavid Sabuka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Vrnak above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 7-10
Point 70 set 4, 7-10 — our read held David Sabuka at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Sabuka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vrnak 1174 vs Sabuka 1312
Sabuka
Correct
both rated, 138 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrnak 40% vs Sabuka 60%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrnak 30% vs Sabuka 50%
Sabuka
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrnak -2 · Sabuka +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Sabuka) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrnak 2.20 / Sabuka 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Sabuka)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378911
Vrnak2.20
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 21 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Sabuka1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite50% won 53 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it100% 23 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it73% 35 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrnakSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime95 / 215 vs 252 / 53544.2%47.1%95 / 215 vs 252 / 535Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaVrnak 2.20/Sabuka 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Sabuka won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Vrnak10
LSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113LSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123LAug 8 · 20:33J. Vrnak3.3051290M. Vydra1.251114113LAug 8 · 19:30M. Vydra1.401111113J. Vrnak2.755920LAug 8 · 18:00J. Vrnak2.38416971M. Holub1.53111411113LAug 6 · 09:10M. Holub1.4471J. Vrnak2.6350WAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113WAug 6 · 07:00J. Vrnak1.801111113A. Akopyan1.914690
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111WAug 31 · 13:03J. Seeman1.9175111112D. Sabuka1.80111186113LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122
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