TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12378683
Played Aug 8Finished
Milan Vydra
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115119112––––
Jan Vrnak
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMilan Vydra to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Jan Vrnak below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-2
Point 49 set 3, 11-2 — our read held Milan Vydra at 54.0%
49 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Vydra
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Vydra 1276 vs Vrnak 1202
Vydra
Correct
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vydra 40% vs Vrnak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vydra 50% vs Vrnak 30%
Vydra
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vydra +1 · Vrnak -3
Vrnak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Vydra) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vydra form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVydra 1.40 / Vrnak 2.75
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Vydra)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #12378683
Vydra1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite43% won 24 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it65% 17 of 26
Vrnak2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 21 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricVydraVrnakBasisWin rate · lifetime109 / 230 vs 95 / 21247.4%44.8%109 / 230 vs 95 / 212Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VydraVydra 1.40/Vrnak 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.3%
Vydra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vydra won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932
J. Vrnak10
LSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562LSep 3 · 07:30J. Vrnak2.20961171A. Skyba1.6111115113LSep 3 · 06:30J. Vrnak2.50911771M. Cmil1.5011211113LSep 3 · 05:30J. Vrnak3.401177101L. Krutina1.3041111123LAug 8 · 20:33J. Vrnak3.3051290M. Vydra1.251114113LAug 8 · 19:00J. Vrnak2.20711471D. Sabuka1.6111911103LAug 8 · 18:00J. Vrnak2.38416971M. Holub1.53111411113LAug 6 · 09:10M. Holub1.4471J. Vrnak2.6350WAug 6 · 07:30T. Holomek1.737960J. Vrnak2.001111113WAug 6 · 07:00J. Vrnak1.801111113A. Akopyan1.914690
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.