TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12460343
Played Aug 19Finished
Milan Vydra
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311115114––––
Viktor Kucala
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Viktor Kucala below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 55 set 3, 11-4
55 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vydra 1–5 Viktor Kucala Milan Vydra has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Kucala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vydra form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVydra 2.25 / Kucala 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Kucala)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12460343
Vydra2.25
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Kucala1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite56% won 55 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeVydra1wins
AwayKucala5wins
4 of 6 to a deciderKucala leads 5–1, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVydra25%1 of 4
AwayKucalan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vydra4Kucala2n = 6Vydra took 4 of 6
S2Vydra4Kucala2n = 6Vydra took 4 of 6
S3Vydra1Kucala5n = 6Kucala took 5 of 6
S4Vydra1Kucala5n = 6Kucala took 5 of 6
S5Vydra1Kucala3n = 4Kucala took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away350%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricVydraKucalaV − KBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match37.745.2−7.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVydraKucalaBasisWin rate · lifetime112 / 228 vs 123 / 26849.1%45.9%112 / 228 vs 123 / 268Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucalaVydra 2.25/Kucala 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.9%
Kucala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vydra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 19 · 10:00M. Vydra—1145131V. Kucala—81111153
WMay 24 · 16:34M. Vydra—111158113V. Kucala—63111192
LMay 24 · 14:30M. Vydra—613871V. Kucala—111111113
LApr 12 · 13:15M. Vydra—11113632V. Kucala—591111113
LMar 22 · 17:40M. Vydra—11613752V. Kucala—7111111103
LMar 22 · 16:30M. Vydra—71141142V. Kucala—116116113
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932WAug 10 · 06:30M. Vydra1.30128117113A. Skyba3.40101141182
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131
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