TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12457050
Played Aug 19Finished
Viktor Kucala
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111141151513––
Milan Vydra
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:00 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeViktor Kucala to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingViktor Kucala above · Milan Vydra below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 15-13
Point 78 set 4, 15-13 — our read held Viktor Kucala at 58.8%
78 points played in total.
H2H Viktor Kucala 4–1 Milan Vydra Milan Vydra has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:00What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kucala
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Kucala
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kucala 1196 vs Vydra 1336
Vydra
Wrong
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kucala 40% vs Vydra 100%
Vydra
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kucala 40% vs Vydra 80%
Vydra
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kucala +2 · Vydra +5
Vydra
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Kucala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vydra form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKucala 1.67 / Vydra 2.10
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Kucala)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #12457050
Kucala1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 55 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it75% 43 of 57
Vydra2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 22 of 51
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back19% 3 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKucala4wins
AwayVydra1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderKucala leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKucalan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayVydra33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kucala2Vydra3n = 5Vydra took 3 of 5
S2Kucala1Vydra4n = 5Vydra took 4 of 5
S3Kucala4Vydra1n = 5Kucala took 4 of 5
S4Kucala4Vydra1n = 5Kucala took 4 of 5
S5Kucala3Vydra1n = 4Kucala took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home360%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricKucalaVydraK − VBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match45.238.6+6.6per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKucalaVydraBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 265 vs 111 / 22546%49.3%122 / 265 vs 111 / 225Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KucalaKucala 1.67/Vydra 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.8%
Kucala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kucala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LMay 24 · 16:34V. Kucala—63111192M. Vydra—111158113
WMay 24 · 14:30V. Kucala—111111113M. Vydra—613871
WApr 12 · 13:15V. Kucala—591111113M. Vydra—11113632
WMar 22 · 17:40V. Kucala—7111111103M. Vydra—11613752
WMar 22 · 16:30V. Kucala—116116113M. Vydra—71141142
V. Kucala10
WAug 31 · 12:34J. Krejcik1.3641141162V. Kucala3.00119118113WAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 10:30V. Kucala2.63111111362J. Krejcik1.44138711113LAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113LAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 11:30V. Kucala2.505360P. Moulis1.501111113LAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113LAug 30 · 09:30V. Kucala2.0071280J. Seeman1.731114113LAug 24 · 12:58J. Krejcik2.001111113V. Kucala1.734370WAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932WAug 10 · 06:30M. Vydra1.30128117113A. Skyba3.40101141182
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