TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13052821
Played Aug 31Finished
Jan Seeman
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711511118116111
David Sabuka
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingJan Seeman above · David Sabuka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 1-11
Point 82 set 5, 1-11
82 points played in total.
H2H Jan Seeman 3–6 David Sabuka Jan Seeman has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Sabuka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sabuka form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSeeman 1.91 / Sabuka 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sabuka)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13052821
Seeman1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 32 of 91
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 23
Sabuka1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 61 of 120
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it77% 43 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSeeman3wins
AwaySabuka6wins
4 of 9 to a deciderSabuka leads 6–3, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSeeman50%2 of 4
AwaySabuka80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Seeman4Sabuka5n = 9Sabuka took 5 of 9
S2Seeman5Sabuka4n = 9Seeman took 5 of 9
S3Seeman4Sabuka5n = 9Sabuka took 5 of 9
S4Seeman6Sabuka3n = 9Seeman took 6 of 9
S5Seeman0Sabuka4n = 4Sabuka took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away444%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricSeemanSabukaSeeman − SabukaBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set45−1of 9Avg pointsper match42.742.9−0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSeemanSabukaBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 284 vs 243 / 52448.2%46.4%137 / 284 vs 243 / 524Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SabukaSeeman 1.91/Sabuka 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Sabuka · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Sabuka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 31 · 11:00J. Seeman—11711133D. Sabuka—8117111
LAug 30 · 12:00J. Seeman—871111122D. Sabuka—111175143
LAug 15 · 15:00J. Seeman—111151132D. Sabuka—13711973
WAug 1 · 20:29J. Seeman—13811113D. Sabuka—1111551
LAug 1 · 18:00J. Seeman—1116881D. Sabuka—61811113
LJul 25 · 20:24J. Seeman—111131362D. Sabuka—591115113
LJul 25 · 17:15J. Seeman—511961D. Sabuka—11611113
WJul 23 · 12:33J. Seeman—91111123D. Sabuka—1178101
LJul 23 · 09:30J. Seeman—911101262D. Sabuka—1161210113
J. Seeman10
WSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171WSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 11:00J. Krejcik2.001111113J. Seeman1.733940WSep 3 · 09:30J. Blazek2.0092111162J. Seeman1.73111199113WAug 31 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.57713591J. Seeman2.25111111113WAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 09:30V. Kucala2.25511991J. Seeman1.5711811113WAug 30 · 12:39J. Seeman1.57691111113V. Kucala2.2511116582LAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122LAug 30 · 11:00P. Moulis1.4411911113J. Seeman2.63811381
D. Sabuka10
WSep 1 · 08:43D. Sabuka1.221111113A. Skyba4.007940LSep 1 · 08:00M. Cmil1.731111114143D. Sabuka2.00613911122WSep 1 · 07:00A. Skyba3.751111791D. Sabuka1.2513611113LSep 1 · 05:30M. Cervenka4.5011411133D. Sabuka1.178119111LAug 31 · 11:30V. Kucala2.20111011113D. Sabuka1.61912141LAug 31 · 11:00D. Sabuka1.678117111J. Seeman2.1011711133WAug 31 · 10:00D. Sabuka2.501111123J. Krejcik1.5037100LAug 30 · 13:09D. Sabuka2.5088111162P. Moulis1.50111185113WAug 30 · 12:00D. Sabuka1.67111175143J. Seeman2.10871111122WAug 30 · 10:30V. Kucala1.83112681D. Sabuka1.8391111113
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