TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12113792
Played Jun 28Finished
Milan Vydra
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811114511117113
Patrik Muller
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMilan Vydra above · Patrik Muller below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 82 set 5, 11-3
82 points played in total.
H2H Milan Vydra 2–0 Patrik Muller Patrik Muller has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Vydra)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vydra form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVydra 1.30 / Muller 3.40
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Vydra)+7.0pp
Setka Cup · #12113792
Vydra1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite48% won 19 of 40
Up 2–0, closes it91% 10 of 11
Up 1–0, closes it70% 14 of 20
Muller3.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVydra2wins
AwayMuller0wins
Vydra leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVydraMullerV − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.524.5+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVydraMullerBasisWin rate · lifetime155 / 298 vs 85 / 21952%38.8%155 / 298 vs 85 / 219Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VydraVydra 1.30/Muller 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.3%
Vydra · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vydra won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WDec 23 · 15:00M. Vydra—81111113P. Muller—117531
WOct 28 · 11:30M. Vydra—1211113P. Muller—10850
M. Vydra10
LAug 24 · 21:03M. Holub1.831171110113M. Vydra1.8361171282WAug 24 · 19:30V. Coubal1.8310930M. Vydra1.831211113WAug 24 · 19:00M. Vydra1.801111113M. Cmil1.918250LAug 24 · 18:00M. Vydra1.80138110M. Holub1.911511133WAug 19 · 12:43M. Vydra2.251311113V. Kucala1.5711540LAug 19 · 12:00M. Vydra1.671491111102M. Holub2.10161158123WAug 19 · 10:30A. Akopyan2.7551151192M. Vydra1.40118119113LAug 19 · 10:00V. Kucala1.6781111153M. Vydra2.101145131WAug 10 · 09:08A. Akopyan2.637111151M. Vydra1.4411813113WAug 10 · 07:30M. Vydra2.008111211113F. Fryml1.7311314932
P. Muller10
LSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191LSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LJun 28 · 13:00P. Muller2.6381070J. Jnr1.441112113LJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131LJun 28 · 09:30M. Cmil1.4013911113P. Muller2.751111851LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller2.384680J. Krejcik1.531111113WJun 26 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.538101161P. Muller2.3811125113LJun 26 · 11:00L. Krutina1.571311113P. Muller2.2511480
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