TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #12116501
Played Jun 28Finished
Patrik Muller
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111012711––––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
How it is goingPatrik Muller above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 59 set 3, 7-11
59 points played in total.
H2H Patrik Muller 9–19 Jakub Dufek Jnr Patrik Muller has won 9 of their 28 meetings.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jnr form (0%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMuller 2.63 / Jnr 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Jnr)+5.0pp
Setka Cup · #12116501
Muller2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back22% 7 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Jnr1.44
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 57 of 98
Up 2–0, closes it91% 29 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it72% 42 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMuller4wins
AwayJnr6wins
7 of 10 to a deciderJnr leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuller80%4 of 5
AwayJnr100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Muller5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S2Muller4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S3Muller5Jnr5n = 10split evenly
S4Muller2Jnr7n = 9Jnr took 7 of 9
S5Muller4Jnr3n = 7Muller took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMullerJnrM − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.043.7−1.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMullerJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 219 vs 205 / 41438.8%49.5%85 / 219 vs 205 / 414Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrMuller 2.63/Jnr 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jnr won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 22 · 11:00P. Muller—610111182J. Jnr—111276113
LJun 3 · 11:00P. Muller—651171J. Jnr—11116113
WApr 28 · 10:45P. Muller—167116113J. Jnr—141191152
WApr 23 · 12:53P. Muller—111169113J. Jnr—96111182
LApr 23 · 09:15P. Muller—91160J. Jnr—1113113
LApr 13 · 11:30P. Muller—11119482J. Jnr—771111113
LApr 2 · 09:30P. Muller—107111162J. Jnr—121176113
LFeb 10 · 13:38P. Muller—12101161J. Jnr—14127113
WFeb 10 · 11:30P. Muller—111253113J. Jnr—310111182
WJan 18 · 13:38P. Muller—1111111083J. Jnr—28131252
P. Muller10
LSep 6 · 16:34A. Akopyan2.1012136113P. Muller1.6710111191LSep 6 · 15:30V. Coubal1.611113133P. Muller2.20811110LSep 6 · 15:00P. Muller2.631110761M. Holub1.4481211113WSep 6 · 14:00P. Muller1.671111113A. Akopyan2.103990LJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131LJun 28 · 11:00M. Vydra1.30811511113P. Muller3.4011411732LJun 28 · 09:30M. Cmil1.4013911113P. Muller2.751111851LJun 26 · 12:58P. Muller2.384680J. Krejcik1.531111113WJun 26 · 12:00J. Krejcik1.538101161P. Muller2.3811125113LJun 26 · 11:00L. Krutina1.571311113P. Muller2.2511480
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871WJun 28 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5711713113P. Muller2.253111131
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