TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13055259
Played Sep 1Finished
Radek Slunecko
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119911114119––
Jakub Dufek Jnr
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:27 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeRadek Slunecko to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Slunecko above · Jakub Dufek Jnr below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 75 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Radek Slunecko at 55.8%
75 points played in total.
H2H Radek Slunecko 1–0 Jakub Dufek Jnr Jakub Dufek Jnr has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:27What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Slunecko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Slunecko 1432 vs Jnr 1310
Slunecko
Correct
both rated, 122 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slunecko 40% vs Jnr 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slunecko 40% vs Jnr 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slunecko +1 · Jnr +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Slunecko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slunecko form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlunecko 1.67 / Jnr 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Slunecko)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13055259
Slunecko1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 19 of 36
Up 2–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Up 1–0, closes it78% 14 of 18
Jnr2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog50% won 90 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back33% 28 of 85
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSlunecko1wins
AwayJnr0wins
Slunecko leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSluneckoJnrS − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match42.033.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSluneckoJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 156 vs 239 / 46449.4%51.5%77 / 156 vs 239 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SluneckoSlunecko 1.67/Jnr 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Slunecko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Slunecko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 1 · 11:30R. Slunecko—11911113J. Jnr—911491
R. Slunecko10
LSep 1 · 13:09M. Vorel1.4011115113R. Slunecko2.75961171WSep 1 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.57911911113M. Melisek2.2511911832LSep 1 · 09:30R. Slunecko2.75711291M. Vorel1.4011611113LAug 26 · 12:28A. Dvoracek2.501111113R. Slunecko1.507750LAug 26 · 11:30R. Slunecko1.80117101552J. Hanacek1.916111213113WAug 26 · 10:30R. Slunecko1.4411811113A. Dvoracek2.63911861LAug 26 · 09:30R. Slunecko1.7378111162F. Kubos2.00111149113LJul 31 · 12:24J. Seeman3.0011411113R. Slunecko1.36411851WJul 31 · 11:15R. Slunecko1.5011143113J. Seeman2.505121131WJul 31 · 10:15R. Slunecko1.80461112113J. Hanacek1.91111191052
J. Jnr10
LSep 3 · 12:58J. Seeman2.0011119113J. Jnr1.73681171LSep 3 · 12:00J. Jnr1.5791090J. Seeman2.251112113LSep 3 · 10:30J. Blazek2.501071111113J. Jnr1.5012116972LSep 3 · 10:00J. Krejcik1.611111410153J. Jnr2.20531112132LSep 2 · 13:08M. Holub2.001113113J. Jnr1.7391170WSep 2 · 11:30P. Cizek2.104680J. Jnr1.671111113WSep 2 · 11:00J. Jnr1.7311118113P. Moulis2.00971151WSep 2 · 10:00J. Jnr1.8011911113M. Holub1.91911791LSep 1 · 12:38M. Melisek1.6191211113J. Jnr2.201110871WSep 1 · 11:00J. Jnr2.387111211113M. Vorel1.53118101372
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